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Sep 13, 2019 at 10:32 vote accept Daniel
Sep 12, 2019 at 13:13 answer added Daniel timeline score: 0
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S Aug 28, 2019 at 21:03 history bounty started Daniel
S Aug 28, 2019 at 21:03 history notice added Daniel Draw attention
Aug 27, 2019 at 10:33 comment added Daniel a) I've tried to understand the derivation of the Kalman smoother, but in vain. In the end, I need an analytical formula for $x_0$, which is why I was trying to derive it myself. b) I have added a second attempt to solve the problem, which seems to almost get me there, but I must be missing something small. Maybe you can spot it? c) And yes, I do have an observation $y_0$. It doesn't strike me as unusual. The difference is small anyway, waiting a while to make the first measurement just changes the expected initial variance.
Aug 27, 2019 at 10:31 history edited Daniel CC BY-SA 4.0
added a second attempt in solving the problem.
Aug 26, 2019 at 23:56 comment added Chris Haug Yes, but it's easiest to derive recursively rather than all at once, first by computing forward each filtering distribution $p(x_t|y_1,...,y_t)$ from $p(x_{t-1}|y_1,...,y_{t-1})$, and then backwards the state posteriors $p(x_{t-1}|y_1,...,y_T)$ from $p(x_t|y_1,...,y_T)$. To be sure, do you really have an observation $y_0$ that corresponds to the state $x_0$ that you care about (as you've written)? Typically the "initial state" is the time right before the first observation, and inference about it is not quite the same.
Aug 26, 2019 at 11:36 comment added Daniel Thanks for your comment, Chris. I'm not sure, I will check it out. If it is it should be derivable as I tried, right? The discussion on Wikipedia is not very clear to me, it would be nice to get some insight by deriving it for this example.
Aug 25, 2019 at 18:53 comment added Chris Haug Am I misunderstanding your notation or is what you've called $P(\vec x|\vec y)$ not simply the result of the Kalman smoother?
Aug 25, 2019 at 13:10 review First posts
Aug 25, 2019 at 14:43
Aug 25, 2019 at 13:07 history asked Daniel CC BY-SA 4.0