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Sep 19, 2019 at 0:47 comment added James Phillips I would summarize as: this tendency is not coincidence.
Sep 18, 2019 at 22:47 comment added Dave You may get lucky (something like that) and do better out-of-sample than in-sample, but you’d expect in-sample to do better.
Sep 18, 2019 at 21:22 history edited Stephan Kolassa CC BY-SA 4.0
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Sep 18, 2019 at 20:43 comment added Mark Switz Firstly, thanks for your answer it was really useful. However, I am still wondering if the tendency for smaller R2 for in-sample forecasting is just coincidence or more like a rule.
Sep 18, 2019 at 20:33 history answered Stephan Kolassa CC BY-SA 4.0