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Feb 28, 2022 at 17:28 comment added whuber That's a little too broad for our format. This is a difficult area of probability theory: you describe a form of random walk with an absorbing barrier at $a.$ A great deal has been written about just the cases where $P$ is a binomial distribution or is a Normal distribution. What you ask, then, looks like it would be an extensive treatise. stats.stackexchange.com/questions/145621 is an example of just one very special case of this situation.
Feb 28, 2022 at 16:56 history edited alexmolas CC BY-SA 4.0
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Feb 28, 2022 at 16:39 history edited alexmolas CC BY-SA 4.0
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Feb 28, 2022 at 16:38 comment added alexmolas I would like to keep the answer as general as possible. I don't want to fix the details of $P$, but have an answer that depends on $P$, $a$, and $b$. Does it make sense?
Feb 28, 2022 at 16:13 comment added whuber Although after the edit I have voted to reopen this question, it has a fundamental problem: the answer, and how one goes about getting an answer, depends on the details of the distribution $P.$ What can you tell us about this distribution in the situation you actually face?
Feb 28, 2022 at 16:12 history reopened Adrian Keister
whuber
Feb 28, 2022 at 14:50 comment added alexmolas @Glen_b thank you for your feedback. I've just edited the question with some examples and a more formal definition of the problem. Let me know if now it's clear :)
S Feb 28, 2022 at 14:49 review Reopen votes
Feb 28, 2022 at 16:18
S Feb 28, 2022 at 14:49 history edited alexmolas CC BY-SA 4.0
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Feb 28, 2022 at 13:35 comment added whuber alexm, I believe I see what you're trying to ask. There's potential for confusion, though, because you use $b$ in a context where it's unneeded. The process stops when $x\ge a,$ period, regardless of what $b$ might be. However, after the process has stopped, you check whether $x\le b.$ I think if you were to clear that up in your post (assuming this is a correct interpretation), it would quickly be reopened. You also need to specify that $P$ won't produce many negative numbers (having a positive expected value would suffice), for otherwise the process might never stop!
Feb 28, 2022 at 2:45 history closed Glen_b
kjetil b halvorsen
Needs details or clarity
Feb 27, 2022 at 23:11 review Close votes
Feb 28, 2022 at 2:45
Feb 27, 2022 at 21:48 history edited alexmolas CC BY-SA 4.0
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Feb 27, 2022 at 21:42 history edited alexmolas CC BY-SA 4.0
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Feb 27, 2022 at 21:36 comment added alexmolas @StratosFair no, it is any distribution.
Feb 27, 2022 at 21:31 comment added Stratos supports the strike Is $P$ the uniform distribution on $(a,b)$ ?
Feb 27, 2022 at 21:27 comment added kjetil b halvorsen That last part ut without wanting to get a value higher than 𝑏 is nowwhere in your Q! Please read it again, and edit ...
Feb 27, 2022 at 21:21 comment added alexmolas Why? I don't understand why it's not clear in the original description. The idea is to add up numbers until you get a number higher than $a$ but without wanting to get a value higher than $b$.
Feb 27, 2022 at 21:12 comment added kjetil b halvorsen Then you need to revise your description, which must be incomplete!
Feb 27, 2022 at 21:09 comment added alexmolas Yes it plays a role, if $b=a$ then the probability is 0, but if $b=\infty$ then the probability is 1.
S Feb 27, 2022 at 20:49 review First questions
Feb 27, 2022 at 21:00
S Feb 27, 2022 at 20:49 history asked alexmolas CC BY-SA 4.0