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Jun 23, 2022 at 17:15 comment added dipetkov Forecasting implies taking the time dimension and order of episode into account. It's not immediately obvious how you'll make a forecasting argument from a classification model.
Jun 22, 2022 at 23:55 comment added Jonathan It's not really anything that will be used, it is to demonstrate that it could be possible to forecast the popularity of an episode by using some features extracted from scripts/video
Jun 22, 2022 at 23:53 comment added dipetkov I'm not sure I understand what problem you are trying to solve. Is this series going to have more seasons? If the series is concluded, then why are you building a classification model?
Jun 22, 2022 at 23:48 comment added Jonathan @dipetkov Thank you for your interest. I have the data about each existing episode of a tv series, 58 episodes
Jun 22, 2022 at 23:45 comment added dipetkov Do you have data about one single TV series? In other words, what is the population of TV series that you are studying?
Jun 22, 2022 at 10:54 vote accept Jonathan
Jun 22, 2022 at 7:19 answer added dx2-66 timeline score: 3
Jun 21, 2022 at 23:15 comment added Frank Harrell This will require a large amount of background reading as you have violated a whole variety of statistical principles. Sorry to not have good news. Check out RMS and fharrell.com/post/classification and note that the minimum sample size for data splitting to work well as a validation method is on the order of n=20,000. You're too subject to "the luck of the split" and are using methods that are harmed by imbalance. Good methods are not hurt by imbalance except for having a lower effective sample size that makes standard errors larger.
Jun 21, 2022 at 22:20 history asked Jonathan CC BY-SA 4.0