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Timeline for AIC, BIC parsimony

Current License: CC BY-SA 3.0

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May 14, 2013 at 19:07 comment added Peter Flom Well.... you have to make up your mind as to whether more or less parsimony is "better" for whatever your definition of "good" is. Personally, I think polynomial terms higher than 2 are hard to interpret and, if they are needed, I prefer splines. But AIC and BIC (and their variants) all have fierce partisans - if you search Google, you can find many papers. But the reason software offers both choices is that neither is that the decision on which is "better" isn't in yet.
May 14, 2013 at 19:04 comment added Jeff Sorry, more context might be appropriate--I'm trying to select a polynomial degree for the "best" fit to run a predictive polynomial model. I do need some criterion for best. I thought that was the purpose for tools like AIC, BIC, and crossvalidation?
May 14, 2013 at 18:54 history answered Peter Flom CC BY-SA 3.0