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Glen_b
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If $X \sim N_k(\mu,\Sigma)$, then $Q=(X-\mu)'\Sigma^{-1}(X-\mu) \sim \chi^2_k$. Further, the level sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoidslevel sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoids you refer to. So the 72% you mention comes from a chi-square distribution (these calcs in R):

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=3)
[1] 0.7209157

As do the other numbers:

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=10)
[1] 0.04579014

> sqrt(qchisq(0.95,df=10))
[1] 4.278672

See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distribution#Prediction_Interval

If $X \sim N_k(\mu,\Sigma)$, then $Q=(X-\mu)'\Sigma^{-1}(X-\mu) \sim \chi^2_k$. Further, the level sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoids you refer to. So the 72% you mention comes from a chi-square distribution (these calcs in R):

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=3)
[1] 0.7209157

As do the other numbers:

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=10)
[1] 0.04579014

> sqrt(qchisq(0.95,df=10))
[1] 4.278672

See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distribution#Prediction_Interval

If $X \sim N_k(\mu,\Sigma)$, then $Q=(X-\mu)'\Sigma^{-1}(X-\mu) \sim \chi^2_k$. Further, the level sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoids you refer to. So the 72% you mention comes from a chi-square distribution (these calcs in R):

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=3)
[1] 0.7209157

As do the other numbers:

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=10)
[1] 0.04579014

> sqrt(qchisq(0.95,df=10))
[1] 4.278672

See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distribution#Prediction_Interval

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Glen_b
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If $X \sim N_k(\mu,\Sigma)$, then $Q=(X-\mu)'\Sigma^{-1}(X-\mu) \sim \chi^2_k$. Further, the level sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoids you refer to. So the 72% you mention comes from a chi-square distribution (these calcs in R):

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=3)
[1] 0.7209157

As do the other numbers:

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=10)
[1] 0.04579014

> sqrt(qchisq(0.95,df=10))
[1] 4.278672

See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distribution#Prediction_Interval

If $X \sim N_k(\mu,\Sigma)$, then $Q=(X-\mu)'\Sigma^{-1}(X-\mu) \sim \chi^2_k$. Further, the level sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoids you refer to. So the 72% you mention comes from a chi-square distribution (these calcs in R):

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=3)
[1] 0.7209157

As do the other numbers:

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=10)
[1] 0.04579014

> sqrt(qchisq(0.95,df=10))
[1] 4.278672

If $X \sim N_k(\mu,\Sigma)$, then $Q=(X-\mu)'\Sigma^{-1}(X-\mu) \sim \chi^2_k$. Further, the level sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoids you refer to. So the 72% you mention comes from a chi-square distribution (these calcs in R):

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=3)
[1] 0.7209157

As do the other numbers:

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=10)
[1] 0.04579014

> sqrt(qchisq(0.95,df=10))
[1] 4.278672

See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distribution#Prediction_Interval

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Glen_b
  • 290.5k
  • 37
  • 652
  • 1.1k

If $X \sim N_k(\mu,\Sigma)$, then $Q=(X-\mu)'\Sigma^{-1}(X-\mu) \sim \chi^2_k$. Further, the level sets of $Q$ are the ellipsoids you refer to. So the 72% you mention comes from a chi-square distribution (these calcs in R):

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=3)
[1] 0.7209157

As do the other numbers:

> pchisq(1.96^2,df=10)
[1] 0.04579014

> sqrt(qchisq(0.95,df=10))
[1] 4.278672