I was calculating a correlation between two variables (A and B) which revealed these variables are highly correlated. I know that one variable is also highly correlated with another one (C), therefore I did a partial correlation between A and B controlling for C. Now I receive a even higher correlation between A and B than I did before. - How can I interpret this?
2 Answers
For understanding this I always prefer the cholesky-decomposition of the correlation-matrix.
Assume the correlation-matrix R of the three variable $X.Y.Z$ as
$$ \text{ R =} \left[ \begin{array} {rrr}
1.00& -0.29& -0.45\\
-0.29& 1.00& 0.93\\
-0.45& 0.93& 1.00
\end{array} \right]
$$
Then the cholesky-decomposition L is
$$ \text{ L =} \left[ \begin{array} {rrr}
X\\ Y \\ Z \end{array} \right] = \left[ \begin{array} {rrr}
1.00& 0.00& 0.00\\
-0.29& 0.96& 0.00\\
-0.45& 0.83& 0.32
\end{array} \right]
$$
The matrix L gives somehow the coordinates of the three variables in an euclidean space if the variables are seen as vectors from the origin, where the x-axis is identified with the variable/vector X and so on.
Then the correlations of X and Y is $\newcommand{\corr}{\rm corr} \corr(X,Y)=x_1 y_1 + x_2 y_2 + x_3 y_3 $ and we see immediately it it $\corr(X,Y)=-0.29 $ because of the zeros and the unit-factor. We see also immediately the correlation $\corr(X,Z)=-0.45$ again because of the zeros and the unit-cofactor. However, the correlation between Y and Z is $\corr(Y,Z) = -0.29 \cdot -0.45 + 0.96 \cdot 0.83$ The partial correlation (after X is removed) is that part for which no variance in the X-variable is present, so $\corr(Y,Z)._X = 0.96 \cdot 0.83 $. Now imagine, the value $0.83$ would be $-0.83$ instead. Then the partial correlation would be negative and the correlation between Y and Z were $ 0.29 \cdot 0.45 - 0.96 \cdot 0.83$
What we see is, that the partial correlations are partly independent from the overall correlations (though within some bounds)
@Gottfried Helms has given you a good answer. If you're looking for a slightly more intuitively-accessible interpretation, the standard answer is this: Imagine regressing A onto C and B onto C, and in both cases saving the residuals. The partial correlation of A and B controlling for C is the correlation between those two sets of residuals. In other words, it indexes the strength of the linear association between the portion of the variability in A and B that cannot be accounted for by recourse to variability in C. This can be contrasted with the part (or semi-partial) correlation in which the residuals for one of A or B is correlated with the other full variable. For an example of how it can be used, showing that the partial correlation between A and B controlling for C is zero can be part of an argument that the relationship between A and B is fully mediated by C (although this approach will only work in the simplest case, see Baron & Kenny (1986), and Kenny's mediation webpage). If you want a little more information about these topics, I discuss it here, there's a decent Wikipedia page, and I'm particularly fond of this webpage.