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2 votes
2 answers
724 views

Optimal way to estimate the irreducible error E [ V [Y | X] ]?

I was reading about conditional variance in Wikipedia and then the following property showed up $$E[V[Y \mid X]]=E[(Y-f(X))^2]-E[(E[Y \mid X]-f(X))^2]$$ Which i interpret as an irreducible error, ...
Gilbert Ibanez's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
44 views

When to use all 3 variables in a graph to estimate a conditional expectation of 2

The title might not be perfect. But here goes: Suppose there are 3 variables $(A,X,Y)$. And they have the following dependencies : $\Pr(Y,A,X)=\Pr(Y\mid A,X)\Pr(X\mid A)\Pr(A)$ $A \rightarrow (X,Y)$...
Aviad Klein's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
315 views

Average conditional variance

Related to Explanatory power of variable. Given a data for 1d variable $Y$ and multidimensional variable $X$, what is the best way to compute average conditional variance of $Y$ given $X$: $$ \Bbb V(...
Ulysses's user avatar
  • 419
7 votes
1 answer
358 views

What's the maximum expectation of a conditional variance, $E[\operatorname{Var}(X+Z_1 \mid X+Z_2)]$?

Let $X,Z_1,Z_2$ be 3 mutually independent RV's, with $Z_1, Z_2$ assuming $N(0,1)$ distribution. $X$ is constrained to have unit 2nd moment, i.e. $E[X^2] =1$, but may take arbitrary distribution. The ...
syeh_106's user avatar
  • 856