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2
votes
Accepted
Overfitting over test set in terms of model selection?
Data-driven model selection is part of the training process: any kind of data used in order to obtain the final model is involved in training. … You'll find lots of questions and answers about this under the topics of (data-driven) model optimization and model selection. …
14
votes
Accepted
When not to use cross validation?
, nor data-driven model selection/tuning/optimization. … but data-driven model selection/tuning/optimization is possible as well, but more complex to construct. …
2
votes
Modeling: Option to cross-validate and predict afterwards
If the model performs well, you model it again on the complete training data set and this final model you then use to predict new values. … That would be data-driven model selection/optimization.
If you want to do data-driven model selection/optimization, you need to validate (= measure performace) the chosen model. …
1
vote
Questions reg. data partitioning, error metrics and model selection
If you do data-driven model selection, you need to measure the performance of the finally selected model with a test set that is independent of the whole training (incl. data-driven model selection). … However, for data-driven optimization, proper scoring rules are the way to go - whatever other figures of merit you look at for the final validation. …
1
vote
use of validation set on lasso cross validation
The independent validation is not supposed to increase the performance: it is supposed to measure the performance of the final model (and detect/monitor the optimistic bias introduced to model selection … during data-driven optimization such as cross validating for the "optimal" penalty). …
4
votes
Optimization: The root of all evil in statistics?
A couple of ways you could parse the quote (in statistics), assuming optimization refers to (data-driven) model selection:
If you care about prediction, you may be better off with model averaging instead … If your dataset is small enough, you might not have enough data to fit the "true" or "best" model for the problem. What does it even mean to do model-selection well, in that case? …
3
votes
How to prove that calibration is not data dredging
The big problem with both model selection/optimization and data dredging is that people forget to validate their final model with independent test data. … The inner test data is used for model selection/optimization, and once that is finished, you do the outer testing with data that did in no way contribute to the model. …
6
votes
Is Cross Validation useless unless the Hypotheses are nested?
Note that if you select a model based on the CV results, this model selection procedure (including the CV) is actually part of your training. … To reiterate: the problem is not the CV, the problem is the data-driven model optimization (selection). …
4
votes
Any theory on how to split the data?
Data-driven model optimization/selection: from a statistical point of view, this will often require much larger test sample sizes than the final evaluation in order to avoid "skimming testing variance" … All in all, I'd expect that the optimization sets should typically be larger than the final evaluation sets - or that instead of data-driven optimization, reasonable hyperparameters may be fixed using …
4
votes
Accepted
correct feature selection for stable feature subset
I like to think of feature selection and model selection by cross validation as data-driven (i.e. by the inner CV results) optimization of the model. … As soon as you use the inner CV results to select/optimize the model, nested validation is necessary. …
15
votes
Accepted
How is cross validation different from data snooping?
Either optimize or measure model performance for validation purposes. … So data-driven optimization of λ is clearly part of the model training. …
2
votes
Accepted
Approximate ratio of no. features to no. samples to force a feature selection
Data-driven feature selection is IHMO best discussed as part of general hyperparameter optimization, and it will often be set up in a way that hugely extends the hyperparameter search space. … For your scenario (accuracy, 500 test cases, 80 features among which to select), you cannot afford data-driven feature selection. …
5
votes
Does it make sense to do CV-error-weighted model averaging?
IMHO, the basic rules for data-driven model optimization applies here as well. … Talbot, Over-fitting in model selection and subsequent selection bias in performance evaluation, Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2010. Research, vol. 11, pp. 2079-2107, July 2010. …
1
vote
Fastest way to compare ROC curves
Data-driven optimization means that information from the test samples enter your final model as you choose a model that performs well for these (CV) test sets. … Samples that were tested for parameter optimization or model selection are not independent any longer. And you should report the uncertainty on this final …
1
vote
Accepted
K-fold CV based model selection with a constraint on the number of features?
Like @Firebug, I'd recommend nested cross validation if you go for data-driven model selection (unless you have thousands of independent cases at hand, so that a 20 % split still gives you decent testing … estimate calculated using an optimization (validation) test set. …