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Bayesian inference is a method of statistical inference that relies on treating the model parameters as random variables and applying Bayes' theorem to deduce subjective probability statements about the parameters or hypotheses, conditional on the observed dataset.

2 votes
1 answer
38 views

Interpreting false positives of Placebo group with full information

I'd like to make sure that I am interpreting a study correctly; I'm getting tripped up by Bayes Rule. Formulas and data are listed below my question. Here's the background: There is a study where user …
2 votes
1 answer
58 views

Applying Bayes rule in placebo trial with guesses of group

I'd like help correctly applying Bayes Rule to an unusual placebo-controlled trial design, which had users guess whether they were in the placebo or treatment groups. So, in a normal Placebo trial, th …