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Make the distribution of $B$ explicit
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josliber
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Call the number of pieces in each section $A$, $B$, and $C$. Because $A+B+C=6$, you are interested in $Pr(A=2, B=2) = Pr(B=2|A=2)Pr(A=2)$.

$Pr(A=2)$ is a simple binomial calculation: $A\sim Binom(6, 1/3)$, so $Pr(A=2) = {6\choose 2}(1/3)^2(2/3)^4 = 80/243$.

Conditioned on $A$ having two pieces, the number of pieces in $B$ also follows a binomial distribution:$B\sim Binom(4, 1/2)$, so $Pr(B=2|A=2) = {4\choose 2}(1/2)^4 = 3/8$.

Multiplying these together, we conclude that $Pr(A=2, B=2) = 10/81$.

Call the number of pieces in each section $A$, $B$, and $C$. Because $A+B+C=6$, you are interested in $Pr(A=2, B=2) = Pr(B=2|A=2)Pr(A=2)$.

$Pr(A=2)$ is a simple binomial calculation: $A\sim Binom(6, 1/3)$, so $Pr(A=2) = {6\choose 2}(1/3)^2(2/3)^4 = 80/243$.

Conditioned on $A$ having two pieces, the number of pieces in $B$ also follows a binomial distribution: $Pr(B=2|A=2) = {4\choose 2}(1/2)^4 = 3/8$.

Multiplying these together, we conclude that $Pr(A=2, B=2) = 10/81$.

Call the number of pieces in each section $A$, $B$, and $C$. Because $A+B+C=6$, you are interested in $Pr(A=2, B=2) = Pr(B=2|A=2)Pr(A=2)$.

$Pr(A=2)$ is a simple binomial calculation: $A\sim Binom(6, 1/3)$, so $Pr(A=2) = {6\choose 2}(1/3)^2(2/3)^4 = 80/243$.

Conditioned on $A$ having two pieces, $B\sim Binom(4, 1/2)$, so $Pr(B=2|A=2) = {4\choose 2}(1/2)^4 = 3/8$.

Multiplying these together, we conclude that $Pr(A=2, B=2) = 10/81$.

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josliber
  • 4.4k
  • 29
  • 44

Call the number of pieces in each section $A$, $B$, and $C$. Because $A+B+C=6$, you are interested in $Pr(A=2, B=2) = Pr(B=2|A=2)Pr(A=2)$.

$Pr(A=2)$ is a simple binomial calculation: $A\sim Binom(6, 1/3)$, so $Pr(A=2) = {6\choose 2}(1/3)^2(2/3)^4 = 80/243$.

Conditioned on $A$ having two pieces, the number of pieces in $B$ also follows a binomial distribution: $Pr(B=2|A=2) = {4\choose 2}(1/2)^4 = 3/8$.

Multiplying these together, we conclude that $Pr(A=2, B=2) = 10/81$.