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Timeline for Bayesian Inference Toy Problem

Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0

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Feb 14, 2019 at 16:49 comment added CarbonFlambe What is the relevance of $q$? It is mentioned but not used. I'm not sure of the meaning of "we make an observation of a chocolate with probability $q$, independent of $A$".
Feb 12, 2019 at 11:24 answer added Vasilis Vasileiou timeline score: 1
Feb 12, 2019 at 5:47 comment added Xi'an To repeat @MatthewGunn's comment, "the probability that a black chocolate is observed given that all chocolates are black" is not the probability that all chocolates are black.
Feb 12, 2019 at 5:44 comment added Xi'an Please add the self-study tag.
Feb 12, 2019 at 3:18 comment added Shrey @MatthewGunn Sorry for the confusion––I meant for black and dark to be synonymous. I updated the question.
Feb 12, 2019 at 3:17 history edited Shrey CC BY-SA 4.0
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Feb 12, 2019 at 3:11 comment added Matthew Gunn If all chocolates are dark, how is it possible to observe a chocolate that isn't dark? What's the probability of drawing a red ball from an urn given that 50% of the (otherwise identical) balls are red? (In your formulation, is "black chocolate" the same as "dark chocolate?")
Feb 12, 2019 at 1:26 history asked Shrey CC BY-SA 4.0