14
$\begingroup$

After centering, the two measurements x and −x can be assumed to be independent observations from a Cauchy distribution with probability density function:

$f(x :\theta) = $ $1\over\pi (1+(x-\theta)^2) $ $, -∞ < x < ∞$

Show that if $x^2≤ 1$ the MLE of $\theta$ is 0, but if $x^2>1$ there are two MLE's of $\theta$, equal to ±$\sqrt {x^2-1}$

I think to find the MLE I have to differentiate the log likelihood:

$dl\over d\theta$ $=\sum $$2(x_i-\theta)\over 1+(x_i-\theta)^2 $ $=$ $2(-x-\theta)\over 1+(-x-\theta)^2 $ + $2(x-\theta)\over 1+(x-\theta)^2 $ $=0$

So,

$2(x-\theta)\over 1+(x-\theta)^2 $ $=$ $2(x+\theta)\over 1+(x-\theta)^2 $

which I then simplified down to

$5x^2 = 3\theta^2+2\theta x+3$

Now I've hit a wall. I've probably gone wrong at some point, but either way I'm not sure how to answer the question. Can anyone help?

$\endgroup$
1
  • $\begingroup$ Please, explain why did you split x into -x and +x? This is my homework and I'm getting stuck at that step. I guess you applied Newton's Raphson Method to it. But I'm not getting how to apply it. Will please tell me? $\endgroup$
    – user89929
    Commented Sep 20, 2015 at 16:09

2 Answers 2

22
$\begingroup$

There is a math typo in your calculations. The first order condition for a maximum is:
\begin{align} \frac {\partial L}{\partial \theta}= 0 &\Rightarrow \frac {2(x+\theta)}{ 1+(x+\theta)^2} - \frac{2(x-\theta)}{ 1+(x-\theta)^2}&=0 \\[5pt] &\Rightarrow (x+\theta)+(x+\theta)(x-\theta)^2 - (x-\theta)-(x-\theta)(x+\theta)^2&=0 \\[3pt] &\Rightarrow 2\theta +(x+\theta)(x-\theta)\left[x-\theta-(x+\theta\right]&=0 \\[3pt] &\Rightarrow2\theta -2\theta(x+\theta)(x-\theta) =0\Rightarrow 2\theta -2\theta(x^2-\theta^2)&=0 \\[3pt] &\Rightarrow2\theta(1-x^2+\theta^2)=0 \Rightarrow 2\theta\big(\theta^2+(1-x^2)\big)&=0 \end{align}

If $x^2\leq 1$ then the term in the parenthesis cannot be zero (for real solutions of course), so you are left only with the solution $\hat \theta =0$.

If $x^2 >1$ you have $2\theta\big[\theta^2-(x^2-1)\big]=0$ so, apart from the candidate point $\theta =0$ you also get

$$\frac {\partial L}{\partial \theta}= 0,\;\; \text{for}\;\;\hat \theta = \pm\sqrt {x^2-1}$$

You also have to justify why in this case $\hat \theta =0$ is no longer an MLE.

ADDENDUM

For $x =\pm 0.5$ the graph of the log-likelihood is enter image description here

while for $x =\pm 1.5$ the graph of the log-likelihood is, enter image description here

Now all you have to do is to prove it algebraically and then wonder "fine -now which of the two should I choose?"

$\endgroup$
9
  • $\begingroup$ Thanks! I can't see why $\theta=0$ would no longer be an MLE though $\endgroup$
    – user123965
    Commented May 16, 2014 at 21:09
  • $\begingroup$ Work the 2nd order condition for a maximum, or evaluate the likelihood at the candidate solutions $\endgroup$ Commented May 16, 2014 at 21:17
  • 2
    $\begingroup$ +1 great answer. Also, this might be interesting: wolframalpha.com/share/… wolframalpha.com/share/… $\endgroup$ Commented May 17, 2014 at 0:35
  • $\begingroup$ @random_user Thanks! - I took the liberty to incorporate the plot in the answer. $\endgroup$ Commented May 17, 2014 at 0:47
  • 1
    $\begingroup$ 2nd derivative positive so indeed a local minimum $\endgroup$ Commented May 17, 2014 at 9:24
0
$\begingroup$

Just to record a variant on the above calculation with a couple of shortcuts:

From $\frac{x-\theta}{1+(x-\theta)^2}=\frac{x+\theta}{1+(x+\theta)^2}$ we see that the function $g(y)=\frac{y}{1+y^2}$ takes the same value at $y_1=x-\theta$ and $y_2=x+\theta$, hence so does $\frac{1}{g(y)}=y+\frac{1}{y}$. This function is 2 to 1 (except at $y=\pm 1$) so either $y_1=y_2$ and $\theta=0$ or $y_1=\frac{1}{y_2}$ so $y_1y_2=1$ i.e. $x^2-\theta^2=1$, i.e. $\theta=\pm \sqrt{x^2-1}$ (of course this can happen only if $|x|\geq 1$; if $|x|=1$ the two cases collapse to one and the 3 solutions coincide).

Now, the inverse of likelihood is a degree 4 polynomial in $\theta$, and always positive. So if it has a single extremum (as it does in $x\leq 1$ case) that is a minimum -- i.e. the likelihood has a maximum (at $\theta=0$). If (as in $x>1$ case) it has 3 distinct extrema they must be local min, local max, and local min. So the likelihood has local max, local min, and local max. By symmetry, the values at the two local maxima $\theta=\pm \sqrt{x^2-1}$ are the same, so they are both global maxima.

$\endgroup$

Your Answer

By clicking “Post Your Answer”, you agree to our terms of service and acknowledge you have read our privacy policy.

Not the answer you're looking for? Browse other questions tagged or ask your own question.