I am very new to Time Series Analysis (together with R). I have been practising with some very simple datasets to understand how to decompose the time series into Trend, Seasonal and Error components and then check whether the Error component is Gaussian or not. Till this point, everything is pretty much clear to me. However, after the decomposition, how do I fit the trend and seasonal component, using R that is? I am confused on 'to what' do I fit my trend and seasonal component? I mean what should my predictors be? Time, perhaps?
Below is one of time series datsets that I used. This time series is called 'jj' and is present in the 'astsa' package. The frequency of this time series is quarterly.:
> jj
Qtr1 Qtr2 Qtr3 Qtr4
1960 0.710000 0.630000 0.850000 0.440000
1961 0.610000 0.690000 0.920000 0.550000
1962 0.720000 0.770000 0.920000 0.600000
1963 0.830000 0.800000 1.000000 0.770000
1964 0.920000 1.000000 1.240000 1.000000
1965 1.160000 1.300000 1.450000 1.250000
1966 1.260000 1.380000 1.860000 1.560000
1967 1.530000 1.590000 1.830000 1.860000
1968 1.530000 2.070000 2.340000 2.250000
1969 2.160000 2.430000 2.700000 2.250000
1970 2.790000 3.420000 3.690000 3.600000
1971 3.600000 4.320000 4.320000 4.050000
1972 4.860000 5.040000 5.040000 4.410000
1973 5.580000 5.850000 6.570000 5.310000
1974 6.030000 6.390000 6.930000 5.850000
1975 6.930000 7.740000 7.830000 6.120000
1976 7.740000 8.910000 8.280000 6.840000
1977 9.540000 10.260000 9.540000 8.729999
1978 11.880000 12.060000 12.150000 8.910000
1979 14.040000 12.960000 14.850000 9.990000
1980 16.200000 14.670000 16.020000 11.610000
> decomp_JJ=stl(log(jj),s.window = 4)
> plot(decomp_JJ)
Any help on this is much appreciated!