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Refers to the AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average model used in time series modeling both for data description and for forecasting. This model generalizes the ARMA model by including a term for differencing, which is useful for removing trends and handling some types of non-stationarity.

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0 answers
419 views

General forecasting formula for ARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s

what is general forecasting equation for sARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s.? I wrote this equation, can someone confirm if it is a correct one? $\overline{y}_{t+m}=\frac{ (\varphi_{1}y_{t} + \varphi_{2}y_{t-1}+ …
kathy kinga's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
36 views

ARIMA, p and q identification. Please help [duplicate]

I am very new to SARIMA and I am really facing a poblem which p,q,P,Q to use. Here is ACF and PACF of first-difference, two first plots (stationary) and ACF and PACF of first-seasonal difference (two …
kathy kinga's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
766 views

General forecasting equation for ARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s

what is general forecasting equation for ARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s? I wrote this equation, can someone confirm if it is a correct one? If not, can someone correct it? …
kathy kinga's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
1k views

SARIMA, coefficients check

I would appreciate if someone could check the mathematical equation for the seasonal ARIMA (4,1,4) x (1,1,1) period 12 that I wrote. …
kathy kinga's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
350 views

ARIMA, coefficients check

I would appreciate if someone could check the mathematical equation for the seasonal ARIMA (4,1,3) x (1,1,1) period 12 that I wrote. …
kathy kinga's user avatar