Joint evolution using VAR model and pairwise correlation plot in R

Question

I have data for three commodities for which I conducted a time series analysis using VARselect and VAR functions in "vars" package in R.

• How do I describe their joint evolution using the VAR model?
• Also, I know how to generate scatter plots for pairwise correlation but would like to know how to create pair-wise correlation plots using a three-month window for the data?

Answer 1

I think you may find this link helpful regarding the interpretation of VAR models.

As windows, you can do this using the window function of the ts{} package. Create a time series object, and then a window using

foo_ts <- ts(data, start = c(2000, 1), end = c(2016, 1))
foo_window <- window(data, start = c(2002, 1), end = c(2005, 1)

To make correlograms, one package that makes pretty plots is corrplot. Make a dataframe of your time series windows, and try using

corrplot.mixed(dataframe)

This is a great website for that package.

Alternatively, you could use the corrgram package, in which case

corrgram(dataframe, order=NULL, lower.panel=panel.pts, upper.panel=NULL)

might give what you're looking for.