Given a set of temperatures of different cities for a month, which prediction model should I use for a two day look ahead prediction? Regression models or Time series?
1 Answer
In lieu of an absolute or a priori answer, you could use your existing temperature data to evaluate the performance of the different prediction methods.
E.g. say you have 30 days of temperature data. Perform a set of trials, for both models, where you train the model on some initial segment of the data, say, days 1..n
, where n<28
, and record the prediction of the model for day n+2
. This will give you some empirical evidence of the performance of the different models, given your data.
If you need more temperature data, you could always use a massive dataset like Berkeley Earth.