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I'd like to bootstrap test a hypothesis (two sample Student's t-test). In Efron and Tibshirani 1993 p.224 there is explicit code for that: for each observation, subtract its group mean and add the overall mean where the overall mean is the mean of the combined samples. They claim that we should bootstrap distributions under null hypothesis and that's the reason why we should do this.

However, I also learnt that it's possible to bootstrap from the samples directly without modifying them. I tried both methods: Efron's steps (using the function boot_t_F) and also without transforming the observations (using function boot_t_B).

The resulting bootstrapped p-values (as the proportion of those bootstrapped test statistics that exceed original test statistic) should be exactly the same, but they are not.

Why is this?

My two functions are below:

 boot_t_B<-function(x,y){
  print(t.test(x, y, var.equal=TRUE)) #original test statistics
  t.est<-abs(t.test(x, y, var.equal=TRUE)$statistic) #Student's t-test

  grand_mean<-mean(c(x,y), na.rm=T) #global mean
  x1<-x #-mean(x, na.rm=T)+grand_mean it's not subtracted/added here
  y1<-y #-mean(y, na.rm=T)+grand_mean

  B      <- 10000 #number of bootstrap samples
  t.vect <- vector(length=B) #vector for bootstrapped t-statistics
  for(i in 1:B){
    boot.c <- sample(x1, size=length(x), replace=T)
    boot.p <- sample(y1, size=length(y), replace=T)
    t.vect[i] <- t.test(boot.c, boot.p, var.equal=TRUE)$statistic
  }
   return(mean(t.vect>t.est)) #bootstrapped p-value
} 


boot_t_F<-function(x,y){
  print(t.test(x, y, var.equal=TRUE)) #original test statistics
  t.est<-abs(t.test(x, y, var.equal=TRUE)$statistic) #Student's t-test

  grand_mean<-mean(c(x,y), na.rm=T) #global mean
  x1<-x-mean(x, na.rm=T)+grand_mean
  y1<-y-mean(y, na.rm=T)+grand_mean

  B      <- 10000 #number of bootstrap samples
  t.vect <- vector(length=B) #vector for bootstrapped test-statistics
  for(i in 1:B){
    boot.c <- sample(x1, size=length(x), replace=T)
    boot.p <- sample(y1, size=length(y), replace=T)
    t.vect[i] <- t.test(boot.c, boot.p, var.equal=TRUE)$statistic
  }

  return(mean(t.vect>t.est)) #bootstrapped p-value
} 

set.seed(1678)
boot_t_B(rnorm(25,0,10), rnorm(25,5,10))
[1] 4e-04
set.seed(1678)
boot_t_F(rnorm(25,0,10), rnorm(25,5,10))
[1] 0.0507

Note: I chose 'randomly' the (normal) distribution of the samples.

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  • $\begingroup$ Note that in your call to boot_t_B your arguments are both rnorm, but in your call to boot_t_F they are runif and rexp. $\endgroup$
    – jbowman
    Commented Jan 6, 2016 at 20:24
  • $\begingroup$ @jbowman :) big typo when constructing this question here ... these results 0.0507 and 4e-04 are when I use boot_t_F and boot_t_B on that 'normal' samples $\endgroup$ Commented Jan 6, 2016 at 20:31
  • $\begingroup$ Adjusted the text a bit, hope I retained the sense. $\endgroup$ Commented Jan 6, 2016 at 20:53
  • $\begingroup$ @conjugateprior It does retain :) maybe I should also add this: 'why bootstrapping null hypothesis and bootstrapping data directly give contradictory outcomes in the context of p-values'. $\endgroup$ Commented Jan 6, 2016 at 20:56

2 Answers 2

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The issue is that your bootstrap in boot_t_B isn't correctly done. If you're not correcting the means to be the same (i.e., forcing the null hypothesis to be true by re-centering each sample), you force the null hypothesis to be true by sampling from the two samples combined:

boot.c <- sample(c(x1,y1), size=length(x), replace=T)
boot.p <- sample(c(x1,y1), size=length(y), replace=T)

The reason for this is that if the means ARE different, in your original formulation boot.c and boot.p are actually samples from the alternative hypothesis where the alternative distributions are "centered" at the data. You can think of it as bootstrap sampling from the alternative distribution that is most likely given the data, only you're being nonparametric instead of using a parametric bootstrap. Consequently, you don't get p-values, which of course are calculated assuming the null hypothesis.

If you do it this way, you get:

> set.seed(1678)
> boot_t_B(rnorm(25,0,10), rnorm(25,5,10))
[1] 0.05
> set.seed(1678)
> boot_t_F(rnorm(25,0,10), rnorm(25,5,10))
[1] 0.0507
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Adding to @jbowman's answer, for gaining better intuition of bootstrap procedure for $t$-test you can think of permutation test that you would use in this situation (check e.g. one of the Introduction to Statistics Through Resampling Methods books by Phillip I. Good, or other books on this topic by this author). For conducting permutation test we would assume that under null distribution all the values are randomly redistributed between the groups, so permutation procedure would be to randomly reassign group labels. You have to sample from the hull distribution and this can be achieved by reassigning group labels, or by subtracting group means as suggested by Efron and Tibshirani.

perm_test <- function(x, y) {

  B <- 10000
  nx <- length(x)
  ny <- length(y)
  N <- nx+ny
  xy <- c(x, y)
  orig <- mean(x) - mean(y)
  res <- numeric(B)

  for (i in 1:B) {
    idx <- sample(N, nx)
    tmpx <- xy[idx]
    tmpy <- xy[-idx]
    res[i] <- mean(tmpx) - mean(tmpy)
  }

  mean(orig > res)

}

The result is similar to the "proper" bootstrap, or used as suggested by @jbowman:

> set.seed(1678)
> perm_test(rnorm(25,0,10), rnorm(25,5,10))
[1] 0.051
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