Linked Questions

12 votes
3 answers
2k views

T-consistency vs. P-consistency

Francis Diebold has a blog post "Causality and T-Consistency vs. Correlation and P-Consistency" where he presents the notion of P-consistency, or presistency: Consider a standard linear regression ...
Richard Hardy's user avatar
18 votes
2 answers
812 views

Statistical Inference Under Misspecification

The classical treatment of statistical inference relies on the assumption that that a correctly specified statistical is used exists. That is, the distribution $\mathbb{P}^*(Y)$ that generated the ...
Julian Karch's user avatar
  • 2,130
14 votes
1 answer
4k views

Is MLE estimation asymptotically normal & efficient even if the model is not true?

Premise: this may be a stupid question. I only know the statements about MLE asymptotic properties, but I never studied the proofs. If I did, maybe I woulnd't be asking these questions, or I maybe I ...
DeltaIV's user avatar
  • 18.4k
9 votes
2 answers
1k views

Lasso and statistical signficance of selected variables

I'm looking at a regression model where a very large number of possible explanatory variables are being evaluated, and a small number are finally chosen via the lasso method of variable selection. The ...
Abiel's user avatar
  • 363
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

HAC standard error or missing ARMA terms

In the context of regressions, it seems a convention that the HAC estimator should be applied when the residual is serially correlated. But isn't the presence of residual autocorrelations an ...
Frank's user avatar
  • 61
11 votes
1 answer
482 views

Practical usefulness of pointwise convergence without uniform convergence

Motivation In the context of post-model-selection inference, Leeb & Pötscher (2005) write: Although it has long been known that uniformity (at least locally) w.r.t. the parameters is an important ...
Richard Hardy's user avatar
8 votes
2 answers
516 views

Effects of model selection and misspecification testing on inference: Probabilistic Reduction approach (Aris Spanos)

This question is about pre-test bias, inference after model selection and data snooping within the Probabilistic Reduction (PR) methodology by Aris Spanos (which is related to the Error Statistics ...
Richard Hardy's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
574 views

Post Model Selection Inference problems - which remedies exist?

Recently, Hannes Leeb from Yale University and Benedikt Pötscher from the University of Vienna have published a series of papers dealing with what they call Post Model Selection Inference problems.* ...
Jeremias K's user avatar
  • 1,549
2 votes
1 answer
695 views

When testing a hypothesis, should I keep an insignificant lag in ARMA-GARCH model?

I am trying to estimate ARMA-GARCH model for my stock returns time series. I have estimated ARMA model for my series, and found that there exists ARCH, so added GARCH(1,1) term. However I now find ...
R.Lee's user avatar
  • 51
3 votes
1 answer
119 views

Parameter Inference when Model is a bad fit to the data.

I am working with gamma-ray data from the Fermi Satellite. The data has been binned into energy dependent maps of the sky -- e.g. three dimensions (energy, latitude, longitude) and is extremely high ...
erccarls's user avatar