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17 votes
2 answers
12k views

What is the precise definition of a "Heywood Case"?

I had been using the term "Heywood Case" somewhat informally to refer to situations where an online, 'finite response' iteratively updated estimate of the variance became negative due to numerical ...
shabbychef's user avatar
14 votes
3 answers
6k views

Online estimation of variance with limited memory

I am creating a component that aims to calculate the average and variance of a metric associated with events happening during time but with a limited internal memory. Imagine that the events are ...
Arnaud's user avatar
  • 566
5 votes
3 answers
5k views

How do I compute/estimate the variance of sequential data? [duplicate]

Say I have a (infinite) sequences like 1, 3, 2, 2, 1, 3 ... I want to estimate their mean and variance of the sequence at time $t$. But I won't have enough storage to keep all the data seen ...
dontloo's user avatar
  • 16.8k
4 votes
0 answers
228 views

Prediction Intervals for Incremental OLS regression

I am implementing incremental OLS regression algorithm where the data points arrive one at a time. As the regression parameters are determined by the formula, $(X'X)^{-1} X'y$ and the Sherman-Morrison ...
bfaskiplar's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
610 views

Online algorithm to compute variance with a decay

Could somebody point me to an online algorithm that computes the variance, but gives a higher weight to more recent values?
Davoud Taghawi-Nejad's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
73 views

What is the intuition behind the single-pass algorithm (Welford's method) for the corrected sum of squares?

The corrected sum of squares is the sum of squares of the deviations of a set of values about its mean. $$ S = \sum_{i=1}^k\space\space(x_i - \bar x)^2 $$ We can calculate the mean in a streaming ...
Foobar's user avatar
  • 369
2 votes
0 answers
872 views

Change in standard deviation when a value is removed

Let's say a list of numbers $L$ has standard deviation $S$. Is there a formula for finding $S$ if I remove an element $l$ from $L$? Assume we know the mean of both $L$ and $L - l$.
Mistakamikaze's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
233 views

Estimate variance of sub-sets from overall variance

I am looking for a way to estimate the variance of a summed sub-set based on the variance of those sums. Si = sum( Ai ) S = { S0...Sn } V = variance( S ) That is,...
edA-qa mort-ora-y's user avatar