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For questions about political data (such as approval ratings of US presidents) and political events (such as elections).
33
votes
Probability of a single real-life future event: What does it mean when they say that "Hillar...
When statisticians want to predict a binary outcome (Hillary wins vs Hillary does not win), they imagine that the universe is tossing an imaginary coin - Heads, Hillary wins; tails, she loses. To some …