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Given the equations for exact Gaussian process regression:

\begin{equation} \bar{\boldsymbol{f}_*} = \boldsymbol{m}(X_*) + K_{*f}(K_{ff} + \sigma^2I_N)^{-1}K_{f*}(\boldsymbol{y} - \boldsymbol{m}(X)), \end{equation}

\begin{equation} cov(\bar{\boldsymbol{f}_*}) = K_{**} - K_{*f}(K_{ff} + \sigma^2I)^{-1}K_{f*}, \end{equation}

does $K_{ij}$ have to be the same for each instance shown above? Could the kernel function for $K_{ff}$ be squared exponential (RBF) while the kernel function for $K_{**}$ be something like a Matern' kernel? I don't think that this is possible, but I don't know why. That is what I am hoping to determine, if no, why can't one use different kernels for Gaussian process regression? If yes, how so?

** Clarity Edit ** Can K_** be the result of a completely different kernel function compared to K_*f and K_ff? Because all kernels map to real numbers and are guaranteed to be symmetric and PSD, so for GPs will those attributes still provide a valid covariance matrix given different kernels in the covariance calculation?

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  • $\begingroup$ It's unclear how you intend the kernels to vary. Could you elaborate? $\endgroup$
    – whuber
    Commented Oct 20, 2021 at 23:00
  • $\begingroup$ @whuber Like I mentioned in the post, could K_** be the result of a completely different kernel function compared to K_*f and K_ff? Because all kernels map to real numbers and are guaranteed to be symmetric and PSD, so for GPs will those attributes still provide a valid covariance matrix given different kernels in the covariance calculation? Is that more clear? $\endgroup$
    – csmaster23
    Commented Oct 20, 2021 at 23:04
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    $\begingroup$ I just can't make any sense of it. The second formula is a mathematical consequence of the first. You can't just choose to replace parts of it with other things. $\endgroup$
    – whuber
    Commented Oct 20, 2021 at 23:17
  • $\begingroup$ @whuber I might be missing something, but I feel like the covariance equation isn't necessarily a result of computing the mean...the covariance is the result of conditioning on multivariate Gaussian distributions. Thinking of this link en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distribution under the section with Conditional Distributions. Since we are looking at the uncertainty regarding Sigma11, Sigma12, and Sigma22 can we use different kernels here to model the covariance between those entries that make up cov(f_bar)? $\endgroup$
    – csmaster23
    Commented Oct 20, 2021 at 23:22

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Found the answer after much searching. Ultimately, it comes down to the Loewner ordering of $K_{**}$ and $K_{*f}(K_{ff} + \sigma^2I)^{-1}K_{f*}$, the latter of which I will refer to as the product of all those kernel matrices using the notation $K_{*fff*}$. Essentially, the question is: Is the resulting matrix from the subtraction operation between $K_{**}$ and $K_{*fff*}$ PSD? This will only be true when $K_{**} \succeq K_{*fff*}$.

We know that $K_{**}$ is PSD if it came from a valid kernel, which for our purposes we say it has. $K_{*fff*}$ is also PSD because it came from the multiplication of 3 PSD matrices (as long as those matrices came from valid kernels i.e. kernels that follow Mercer's theorem). Therefore, we have two PSD matrices undergoing a subtraction operation, when will this result be PSD?

There are three outcomes that can occur from this subtraction,

  • The resulting matrix will be positive semi-definite (or PD)
  • the resulting matrix will be indefinite (neither PSD or NSD)
  • the resulting matrix will be negative semi-definite (or ND).

If matrix $A$ is PSD, then $x^TAx \ge 0$; $\forall x \in \Re$ when $\Re$ represents all real numbers. We can use variables to represent the vector $x$, so for the 2D case we have something like,

$\begin{bmatrix} x & y \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} a & b\\ b & c \end{bmatrix} \begin{bmatrix} x\\ y \end{bmatrix} $,

which we can expand to a quadratic equation $ax^2 + bxy + bxy + cy^2 = ax^2 + 2bxy + cy^2$. We know that the squared terms will always be positive, but the middle $2bxy$ term can be negative, what determines if matrix $A$ is PSD is if the squared terms are more positive than the middle term is negative.

Using these ideas we can determine if $K_{**} - K_{*fff*}$ will be PSD or not by using these quadratics. $x^TK_{**}x - x^TK_{*fff*}x \ge 0$ or $x^TK_{**}x \ge x^TK_{*fff}x$; $\forall x \in \Re$. Meaning that $K_{**}$'s quadratic equation in the 2D case must always be strictly larger than or equal to the $K_{*fff*}$ quadratic equation. We can visualize this in 2D with this image.

Same length scale Note that in this plot, the tan bowl shaped plot in the center (i.e. the smallest one in terms of diameter) is the $K_{**}$ quadratic. The outer red one is the $K_{*fff*}$ quadratic, and the teal bowl is the difference between them (the covariance quadratic). Note that this difference is a valid covariance matrix because it is PSD. If the $K_{**}$ quadratic is not strictly larger than $K_{*fff*}$ quadratic then this is what occurs when subtraction occurs.

Bad unequal length scales

Note that $K_{**}$ is not strictly larger and we see that the resulting covariance quadratic dips below zero at those areas where $K_{**}$ is not greater than $K_{*fff*}$. This occurred when the length scale to compute $K_{**}$ was the not the same as the length scales used to compute the resulting $K_{*fff*}$ matrix. We can see in this image the Eigen values of the $K_{**}$ matrix are not greater than the Eigen values of the $K_{*fff*}$ matrix in each of the Eigen vector directions.

This begs the question, can we have a case where we use different length scales (or potentially kernels, I haven't tried it though) of the same kernel for $K_{**}$ and $K_{*fff*}$ and get a PSD matrix. The answer is yes, as long as $K_{**}$'s quadratic is strictly greater than $K_{*fff*}$'s quadratic. Using a variation of the RBF equation

$K(x,x\prime) = \sigma_f e^{-l ||x-x\prime||}$

Note that the usual $\frac{1}{l^2}$ is just being encompassed into the $l$ term. They are equivalent. Using this RBF kernel function, I can give the $K_{ff}$ and $K_{*f}$ kernels the same length scale of 2.338620173077578 and the $K_{**}$ kernel a length scale of 3.3949857315049945, and the resulting covariance is a valid PSD matrix shown in the image below: valid PSD differing length scales This is an example of a valid covariance matrix that came from RBF kernels with differing length scales. The reason this can be useful is due to the potential need to describe the similarity between points differently depending on whether you are looking at the test set or training set. I am still unaware of how to choose the length scales purposefully, right now I have only been able to find valid PSD matrices by a random search of length scales. Future work will be devoted to finding a way of choosing differing length scales and knowing the resulting covariance matrix will be valid.

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