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For questions about the theory or applications of the Poisson process, one of the most widely applied point processes in statistics and elsewhere.
2
votes
How to simulate Poisson arrival times if the rate varies with time?
It's pretty straightforward, thanks to the fact that the interarrival times of a Poisson process are exponentially distributed and the exponential distribution has the memoryless property. (As an asi …
2
votes
Accepted
Let $\{N(t), t \geq 0 \}$ be a $PP(\lambda)$. Compute $P(N(t) = k | N(t + s) = k + m)$
1) Think of each of those $k+m$ events as having occurred either before $t$ or after $t$, and you're trying to calculate the probability that exactly $k$ of them occurred before $t$, which leaves exac …
1
vote
Accepted
Conditional expectation of Poisson process given number of events
Your mistake lies in the transition between this statement:
$$\mathbb{E}[S_4 | N(1) = 2] = \mathbb{E}[S_2 + T_3 + T_4 | N(1) = 2]$$
and this statement (the next line):
$$\mathbb{E}[S_4 | N(1) = 2] …
1
vote
Accepted
Expected value of conditional Poisson process
Let us assume we have a Poisson process with an arrival rate of $\lambda$. After some time $t$, $N_t$ unobserved arrivals have occurred. After some more time, say $\tau$, we observe that $N_{t+\tau} …
2
votes
Can I estimate the parameter of a Poisson arrival process from a low-incidence observation p...
Unfortunately, the maximum likelihood estimate of the rate parameter for a Poisson process that's sampled over a predetermined interval $T$ does not have a finite mean (or higher moments). This is be …
3
votes
Accepted
Compound Poisson Process with Weibull jumps
You've sort of mixed up two distinct approaches to this problem, hence your understandable confusion.
One approach is to ignore the time dimension and simply generate a sample of $Z_i, i \in \{1, \do …
3
votes
Accepted
Estimating event duration by sampling with a Poisson process
Each Poisson arrival will see the system either in state $E$ or not-$E$ ($\bar{E}$). One might suspect that we can construct confidence intervals for the long run fraction of the time in state $E$ ( …
2
votes
Algorithm for generating a Poisson process on a complicated 2d geometry
You can find the areas of the counties in California from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_counties_in_California. This will enable you to generate a count $n_i$ from the appropriate Poisson dis …
3
votes
Accepted
Let $N(t)$ is a poisson process with rate $\lambda$, $T^* \sim \operatorname{Exp}(\lambda^*)...
We can use the law of total expectations to simplify the problem as follows:
$$\mathbb{E} N(\min(t,T^*)) = \lambda \mathbb{E}\min(t,T^*)$$
Finding $\mathbb{E} \min(t,T^*)$ is straightforward:
$$\mathb …
1
vote
Accepted
Grid based piecewise-stationary Poisson process test
You have made a slight, but important, mistake in your likelihood function. Let's try constructing it differently, breaking the $T=13,500$-length time period into $13,500$ time periods of length $1$ …
4
votes
Accepted
Distribution of arrival times to server for an M/M/1 queue (what the server experiences)
It's a mixture of three distributions, and can be found pretty easily by brute force, if one allows oneself to handwave over some important details (e.g., "is $\lambda < \mu$").
Let $n$ be the numb …
3
votes
Mean service time of a $M/E_2/1$ queueing system?
1) Yes, the mean of the service time distribution is just the mean of the Gamma(2,$\lambda)$ distribution.
2) The traffic intensity of the system is the arrival rate / the service rate, in this case: …
3
votes
Characteristic Function of a Compound Poisson Process
Here's another approach that uses a common trick with characteristic functions to avoid having to work out the sums / integrals.
I'll set $\lambda = 1$ without loss of generality, it simplifies nota …