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The relationship between cause and effect.

0 votes

Inferring Causal Direction

Granger causality won't help you here, since it's not even able to identify a causal relationship. The causality in its name is pretty unfortunate, according to Granger himself. …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
2 votes

Why do we need identification in causal inference?

Let's say you have a Treatment variable, an Outcome variable and numerous other variables. One could do a regression of one on the other, adjusting by everything else, but we're smarter than this, rig …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
2 votes

Why are $X$ and $Y$ in this graph d-separated given $Z_2$?

Your answer lies exactly on the next paragraph, on the same page of the book. In the graph (a), X is d-separated from Y with an empty separation set or even with Z2 on it. Carlos Cinelli and colleagu …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
2 votes

Why a path in a causal graph can have edges not all with the same direction?

Let's assume that effects have many causes. For example, we can have $A$ and $B$ causing $C$, and $B$ and $D$ causing $E$. The causal diagram is below. If we somehow keep constant (adjust, control, r …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
1 vote
Accepted

Is the physical impact / effect necessarily the independent variable / dependent variable of...

I like to say that causality is a new lens you put to look at something. Correlation, without anything else, is just what it says it is: a correlation. …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
2 votes

Causal Inference in a Bayesian Network with unobservable backdoor and no frontdoor

I'm sorry to say this but this seems to be a case of non-identifiability. You can't identify the ATE between Smoking and Lung Cancer there. There is an unmeasured confounder for Smoking and Lung Cance …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
1 vote

Are all statistical models also causal models?

edit: I think my causal graph analysis in this simple example is wrong, but hopefully the broader point is still clear To the extent that you correctly identified that M is a mediator and Z is a con …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
12 votes

Is Propensity Score Matching a "MUST" for Scientific Studies?

Besides, confounding is not your only enemy when it comes to inferring causality. Collider bias is another one and propensity score matching does not account for bias due to censoring. …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
7 votes
Accepted

Difference between exchangeability and independence in causal inference

My question is, why is this assumption called the "exchangeability" assumption when it's a statement about independence? Exchangeability is the assumption of being able to exchange groups without ch …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
0 votes

Explain in layperson's terms why predictive models aren't causally interpretable

If it's a person who really knows barely anything about statistics and causation I would provide some examples that are straightforward. If you have data on the number of bathrooms in someone's larges …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
4 votes

Causal inference where potential outcome is somehow "violated"?

You misunderstood the definition of unit there. One unit, individual, can not be in the control group and the treatment group at the same time. You can only observe the effect of ONE intervention on a …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
8 votes
2 answers
292 views

Why does collider adjustment in a shielded triplet tend to cause independence?

I created a causal model in which $X$ causes $Y$ and $Z$, and $Y$ causes $Z$ in the following way: set.seed(2021) N <- 10000 X <- purrr::rbernoulli(N) Y <- X + purrr::rbernoulli(N) Z <- 2*X + 3*Y + p …
mribeirodantas's user avatar
1 vote
Accepted

Conditional independence tests not respecting d-separation

Any idea of why this happens? You start your reasoning by stating that you would expect the statistical dependence between B and T given A (a confounder) to be smaller than the statistical dependenc …
mribeirodantas's user avatar