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2 answers
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How do I calculate the weights in ABC-SMC

I have been reading through the Tutorial on ABC rejection and ABC SMC for parameter estimation and model selection by Tina Toni and Michael P. H. Stumpf. I can't work out how to calculate the weights ...
user3651829's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
77 views

Parameter values fall outside the prior range after post-hoc adjustments in the context of Approximate Bayesian Computation?

I'm doing simple rejection sampling within the Approximate Bayesian Computation framework, and I use regression adjustments (i.e., non-parametric multiple linear regression) to get closer to the true ...
SimonLL's user avatar
  • 135
5 votes
1 answer
93 views

Using maximum Likelihood regression to get closer to the true posterior when doing Approximate Bayesian Computation : contradiction?

Post-hoc adjustments are used to get closer to the true posterior distribution when doing Approximate Bayesian Computation. This is particularly important when using a rough algorithm like rejection/...
SimonLL's user avatar
  • 135
2 votes
1 answer
104 views

Model choice using approximate Bayesian computation using different sets of summary statistics

I would like to know if it is possible to do a model-selection under the approximate Bayesian computation paradigm and using particular sets of summary statistics (e.g., S1 and S2) that differ for ...
SimonLL's user avatar
  • 135
1 vote
1 answer
387 views

How to use ABC for a quadratic regression model [closed]

Edit: I have solved this. I was incorrectly simulating values for the dependent variable and not using a good summary statistic. I have changed my algorithm to: Simulate y value using simulated B0, ...
Peter Durgan's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
155 views

Infer parameters with ABC with non-uniform prior

Edit (thanks to Xi'an) : My data consists of $n$ realization of a specific experiment with $t$ time points and $2$ types of data measured in each time point. I summarized this data by computing the ...
Diogo Santos's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
28 views

What defines a "low" predictive error

Using an Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) approach I have estimated a parameter from my observed data. Now, following this vignette from the R package abc (https://cran.r-project.org/web/...
GabrielMontenegro's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
111 views

Weighting prior proposals based on distance function in approximate Bayesian computation

The typical approach in approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is to propose parameters from the prior, simulate data $\chi'_\text{sim}$ and then accept data that minimises the data misfit $\lambda$ ...
egg's user avatar
  • 1,235
1 vote
2 answers
150 views

An approach to analyse error in ABC posterior

I trying to understand approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) better so please evaluate my idea to analyse the error in the ABC posterior: Choose arbitrary constant values $\theta_0$ for model ...
egg's user avatar
  • 1,235
3 votes
1 answer
180 views

An approach to adaptive Bayesian computation where the acceptance rate is a Bernoulli process

I am considering an approach to adaptive approximate Bayesian computation technique (ABC). The acceptance rejection algorithm is used wherein proposals from the prior are accepted if the simulated ...
egg's user avatar
  • 1,235
7 votes
1 answer
617 views

In what situations would one use Approximate Bayesian Computation instead of Bayesian inference?

I'm not sure why one would use ABC/Likelihood-free inference methods instead of standard Bayesian inference methods. Is this fundamentally a conceptual problem of mine? Are there any concrete ...
ShanZhengYang's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
1k views

Simple linear regression using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC)

To understand how ABC works, I like to use it in a simple linear regression model. I am using EasyABC package in R. My problem is that the results I get are not ...
quibble's user avatar
  • 1,704
4 votes
3 answers
646 views

Approximate Bayesian computation: where to start from? [duplicate]

I am about to start a project in ABC methods and I need to first of all study ABC since I know nothing about it. I spent quite a bit looking for on-line tutorials and notes but I found nothing apart ...
wrong_path's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
793 views

Two algorithms are given for rejection sampling. I can not relate these two algorithms

Algorithm 1) Step 1:Obtain a sample $y$ from distribution $Y$ and a sample $u$ from $(0,1)$ Step 2: Check whether or not $u < f(y)/ M.g(y)$ if true accept $...
Animate_Ant's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
203 views

Estimating the posterior predictive distribution post regression adjustment when doing Approximate Bayesian Computation

I'm currently correcting the parameter values of the posterior distribution estimated with Approximate Bayesian Computation. The correction is obtained using a multiple weighted linear regression ...
SimonLL's user avatar
  • 135
3 votes
1 answer
538 views

Distance metric for Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) regression

I am working on Approximate Bayesian Computation for a simple regression model. Currently, I am not sure how a distance metric in the setting of regression analysis should look like. Imagine a ...
beginneR's user avatar
  • 741
5 votes
2 answers
430 views

Parameter Estimation for intractable Likelihoods / Alternatives to approximate Bayesian computation

Suppose that I have a stochastic model with some parameters that I want to fit to some observed data. Let's assume the Likelihood intractable, i.e. for some reason I cannot work with the analytical ...
Fabian Rost's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
243 views

weight updating scheme in ABC SMC

I am trying to develop some intuition about how weights are updated in ABC PMC. The multiple sources suggest: $ w_t^{(i)}=\frac{\pi(x_t^{(i)})}{\sum_j^N w_{t-1}^{(j)}K_t(x_{t-1}^{(j)},x_t^{(i)})} $ ...
ambushed's user avatar
  • 259
3 votes
1 answer
203 views

Does a metric in ABC need be a true metric

I am considering a number of experiments using Approximate Bayesian Computation. In most of the literature I see reference to a metric function to calculate distance between observed and simulated ...
jamieRowen's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
413 views

ABC with Lotka-Volterra (or any dynamical system)

I have set out to implement a simple ABC rejection sampling algorithm in order to approximate the posterior distribution of parameters for Lotka-Volterra system and I have a few questions: 1) What ...
ambushed's user avatar
  • 259
2 votes
0 answers
158 views

Should I trust logistic regression in ABC model selection with more statistics than retained simulations?

I am using multinomial logistic regression to aid model selection in approximate Bayesian computation. However, I just realize at the preferred tolerance, the number of retained simulations is ...
ryhui's user avatar
  • 21
7 votes
1 answer
830 views

How is ABC more computationally efficient than exact Bayesian Computation for parameter estimation in dynamical systems (ODE) models?

Approximate Bayesian Computation has been suggested as an approach to parameter estimation for computationally intensive simulations, most commonly in population genetics, but also in dynamical ...
user4733's user avatar
  • 2,724
22 votes
2 answers
4k views

What would be an example of a really simple model with an intractable likelihood?

Approximate Bayesian computation is a really cool technique for fitting basically any stochastic model, intended for models where the likelihood is intractable (say, you can sample from the model if ...
Rasmus Bååth's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
868 views

Posterior predictive check following ABC inference for multiple parameters

I am relatively new to Bayesian statistics so please be gentle. I have just performed Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) for the inference of a multi-parameter model. Now I am looking to perform ...
David's user avatar
  • 83
6 votes
2 answers
270 views

ABC: Why not use the distance measure as a pseudo-likelihood instead?

I've read about the ABC rejection algorithm when not being able to calculate the likelihood directly, and my question is: if we have to introduce a distance measure $\rho(D,D')$ anyways, why not use ...
JKnight's user avatar
  • 163
8 votes
1 answer
444 views

Inferring parameters for a regression with features of both multivariate probit and ordinal regression?

Based on my data generated by a complex process and the problem below detailed, I have tried various approaches, to no avail. I am trying to answer one or more of the following questions: a) Has ...
Sameer's user avatar
  • 1,014
6 votes
1 answer
337 views

ABC. How can it avoid the likelihood function?

According to the Wikipedia article, we have the scenario shown below, but how can ABC generate simulation datasets from samples of $\theta$ without knowing or evaluating the likelihood function? For ...
Amelio Vazquez-Reina's user avatar
7 votes
0 answers
2k views

Modeling prior probability as a delta function [closed]

I'm using approximate Bayesian computation to find the true value of a parameter. My prior distribution is uniform over $(0, 1)$. I was watching this video on Bayesian learning and the lecturer ...
ohblahitsme's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
249 views

How to choose the scaling matrix in ABC (without cheating!)?

I am doing a numerical experiment involving comparing Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) with other methods. I am simulating data $\boldsymbol{y}$ from a model and I'm using ABC to get a sample ...
Matteo Fasiolo's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
112 views

Building artificial state space model from noise-less data

I have a discrete time stochastic process, where at each time the state of the system $X_t$ is given by: $$ X_t = f_\theta(X_{t-1},\epsilon_t), \; \; \text{for} \; t = 1,\dots,T $$ and, for example, ...
Gollum's user avatar
  • 21
11 votes
1 answer
1k views

ABC model selection

It has been shown that ABC model choice using Bayes factors is not to be recommended due to the presence of an error coming from the use of summary statistics. The conclusion in this paper relies on ...
user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
2k views

Combining multiple posterior distributions

I am new to Bayesian statistics, and thus have problems to come up with a solution for the following problem: Using Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC), I generate a posterior distribution from ...
Stingery's user avatar
  • 143
6 votes
2 answers
1k views

How to choose the tolerance parameter for ABC?

I have the following sorted data (sampling from parametric space [1,5]) with respect to their distances of parameter Theta. i.e., Let say N = 1000, Theta : 1.1, 1.7, 1.9, 2.4, 2.8, . . . , 4.9 ...
love-stats's user avatar
  • 1,284

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