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Determining Distribution for Conditional Probability

I have that the conditional probability density of $Y|X$ is as such $f_{Y | X} \propto x^{y - 1}(1-x)^{n-y-1}\alpha^{n-y}\beta^{y}$ where $\alpha, \beta$ are constants in $(0, 1)$, $x$ is a random ...
Squarepeg's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
35 views

Conditioning once or twice?

Let's say we have two random variables $Z \in \mathcal{Z}$ and $X \in \mathcal{X}$ with joint density $p_{Z,X}(z,x)$ with respect to a base measure. The density is assumed to factor as $$ p_{Z,X}(z,x) ...
PAM's user avatar
  • 311
4 votes
1 answer
543 views

An impossible distribution

Some days ago another user posted a question which was something like this: $$ A \sim U(0,4)$$ $$B \sim U(0,6)$$ $$A - B \sim U(-4,4)$$ The question was originally to find the distribution of A ...
Oscar Flores's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
48 views

Converting an integral into a probability of some event

Suppose that $X_1, X_2, .....X_n$ are iid random variables from some continuous distribution $F$. Show that $$\int_0^{\infty}(1-F(s+t))f(s)ds=\mathbb{P}(X_1>X_2+t, X_2>0)$$ $$$$Consider the ...
user671269's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
234 views

Questions about the conditional Radon-Nikodym derivative

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{A}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and $X:(\Omega, \mathcal{A})\rightarrow (\mathcal{X}, \mathcal{F})$ and $Y:(\Omega, \mathcal{A})\rightarrow (\mathcal{Y}, \mathcal{G})$ ...
guest1's user avatar
  • 863
3 votes
0 answers
118 views

Conditional Distribution of Multivariate Gaussian given Linear Inequalities

Consider a multivariate Gaussian $Y\sim\mathcal{N}(\mu,\Sigma)$ of dimension $n$. For fixed $c\in\mathbb{R}^n, A\in\mathbb{R}^{m\times n}$ and $c\in\mathbb{R^m}$, what is the conditional distribution ...
user278486's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
159 views

Calculating PDF conditioned on event

I'm confused about problems where we calculate a PDF conditioned on an event. Consider this simple problem: We have two random variables, X and Y, X is uniformly distributed on [a,b], and Y is uniform ...
MohammadAli Zeraatkar's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
51 views

Derive E[Y|X] when the joint probability is given

Now, consider joint density of $X, Y$ : $$ f_{X, Y}(x, y)=\left\{\begin{array}{l} \frac{1}{\pi} ; X^2+Y^2<1 \\ 0 ; \text { Otherwise } \end{array}\right. $$ Derive $E(Y \mid X)$. I know how to ...
Cabbage Roll's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
26 views

Would this way of evaluating this probability be correct?

Suppose I have a discrete variable $S_t$ and a continuous variable $X_t$. Further, suppose I wish to evaluate $P(S_t=s_t)$. Would the below derivations be correct? \begin{align} P(S_t=s_t)&=\int P(...
Carl's user avatar
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0 votes
1 answer
560 views

Finding the conditional distribution from given normal distributions using Bayes' theorem

Background This question is related to my previous question: Describing the measurement of a random variable as another random variable, but I've narrowed and clarified my question. I think I've ...
nwsteg's user avatar
  • 101
3 votes
1 answer
425 views

Conditional probability mass function of number of Poisson random variable given their sum values

We have a discrete random variable $N$, and $X_1, X_2, ... X_N$ are i.i.d Poisson random variables with parameter $\lambda$. Denote $Y = \sum_{i=1}^{N} X_i$. What I want to know is: If finding the ...
T9h's user avatar
  • 33
4 votes
2 answers
292 views

Difference between $\mathbb{E}[Y|X]$ and $\mathbb{E}[Y|X=x]$

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{A}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and $X: \Omega \rightarrow \mathcal{X}$ and $Y: \Omega \rightarrow \mathcal{Y}$ be random variables. I have two questions comparing the ...
guest1's user avatar
  • 863
0 votes
0 answers
54 views

Different formulations of the conditional expectation [duplicate]

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{A}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and $X: \Omega \rightarrow \mathcal{X}$ and $Y: \Omega \rightarrow \mathcal{Y}$ be random variables. I have a question comparing the ...
guest1's user avatar
  • 863
0 votes
0 answers
120 views

Conditional Density Of Independent Bernoulli Random Variables Given Their Sum

Let Yi's be m independent Bernoulli random variables with corresponding success probabilities pi's, and let S = sum of Yi's. I am trying to figure out a way to find the given conditional probability, ...
Ashu's user avatar
  • 1
1 vote
1 answer
90 views

How does one reduce the Maximum Likelihood rule to a pairwise comparison of the probability densities?

I am studying an article, where the authors have discussed something about "the ML decision rule reducing to a pairwise comparison of the conditional PDFs" because the means and variances ...
nashynash's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
241 views

Conditional distribution using Gamma and Weibull

I'm trying to compute the conditional distribution of $X|Y = y$. $X\sim Gamma(3,2)$ $Y|X = x \sim Weibull(2,x)$ I was doing this: $f_{X|Y = y}(x) \propto f_x(x)\cdot f_{Y|X = x}(y)$ $f_x(x) = \frac{1}{...
Seb's user avatar
  • 69
1 vote
0 answers
132 views

Conditional Density Function on Underlying Exponential

Problem Statement: Suppose $Y_1, Y_2,\dots, Y_n$ are a random sample from an exponential distribution with mean $\theta.$ Let $\displaystyle U=\sum_{i=1}^n Y_i.$ Find the conditional density function ...
Adrian Keister's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
54 views

joint and conditional density function

Let $f(x,y,z)$ be the joint density function. I found a reference that this joint density can be written as $f(x,y,z) = f_1(x|y,z)f_2(y|z)f_3(z)$ I'm wondering if there are alternative forms to ...
user0131's user avatar
  • 387
0 votes
0 answers
198 views

decomposition of joint density of multiple variables

I'm considering an EM algorithm of correlated random effects model $y_{it} = \beta x_{it} + \mu_i + \varepsilon_{it},(i=1,...,n;t=1,...,T)$ where $y_{it}$ and $x_{it}$ are observed, but $\mu_i$ and $\...
user0131's user avatar
  • 387
1 vote
0 answers
80 views

Conditional Probability involving condition on two RVs

Suppose X,Y~exp(2) and are independent. Let W=X+Y. How do I set up integrals to calculate the following: f(W|X>Y) E(W|X>Y) Thanks!
Michael's user avatar
  • 21
1 vote
0 answers
133 views

Finding an expression for the CDF of sum of two random variables $X, Y$ conditioned on the value of one variable $Y$: find $P(X + Y < c | Y = b)$ [closed]

This is related to my other question on renewal processes https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/3947852/renewal-theory-probability-of-residual-lifetime-gamma-t-x-conditioned-on-c $X, Y$ are ...
John's user avatar
  • 153
2 votes
1 answer
99 views

Conditional Gaussian

Suppose I have $$ \begin{align} p(x_1) &= N(x_1; 0, 1) \\ p(x_2 \mid x_1) &= N(x_2; x_1, 1) \end{align} $$ How do I compute $p(x_1 \mid x_2)$? I know how to compute their product, giving $N\...
Euler_Salter's user avatar
  • 2,286
1 vote
1 answer
49 views

Why is $f_{Y|X}(y|x) = f_\varepsilon(y - g(x))$ for the regression model $Y = g(X) + \varepsilon$?

Suppose we have the model $$ Y = g(X) + \varepsilon, $$ where the errors are zero-mean and independent of $X$. I read that the conditional probability density function $f_{Y|X}(y|x)$ of $Y$ can be ...
csss's user avatar
  • 153
14 votes
2 answers
1k views

Why are density functions sometimes written with conditional notation?

I keep seeing density functions that don't explicitly arise from conditioning written with the conditional sign: For example for the density of the Gaussian $N(\mu,\sigma)$ why write: $$ f(x| \mu, \...
stochasticmrfox's user avatar
-1 votes
1 answer
25 views

how to calculate the probabilty to draw a X form a gaussian pdf

Given a gaussian distribution, we draw a $X$ from it. What will the probability of drawing that $X$?
Vishal Ghorpade's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
291 views

Conditional probability density from probabilities

I am trying to understand conditional probablility densities in relation to the conditional probablilities. From the Measure-theoretic definition on Wikipedia, if $X$ and $Y$ are non-degenerate and ...
jsid's user avatar
  • 13
4 votes
1 answer
84 views

How to get a PDF which converts an already drawn sample to uniform [closed]

Suppose i have a large data pool with a particular PDF, $F(x)$, interval $[x,y]$ estimated from KDE of the datapool. I drew $N$ samples at random from that data pool and saw that their distribution is ...
ipcamit's user avatar
  • 237
1 vote
0 answers
14 views

bivariate conditional joint sensor model

I am struggling to find $P\left( V_t | z \right)$ from $P\left( V_t | z , V_p \right)$. Here $z$ and $V_p$ are independent variables. ...
Onur Kadem's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
547 views

Probability density of conditional multivariate distribution [duplicate]

We have a multivariate normal vector ${\boldsymbol Y} \sim \mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol\mu, \Sigma)$. Consider partitioning ${\boldsymbol Y}$ into $${\boldsymbol Y}=\begin{bmatrix}{\boldsymbol y}_1 \\ {...
Tomas's user avatar
  • 6,187
0 votes
1 answer
272 views

Sampling posterior distribution of a function

I have the following problem: let's say I have a function $y=f(x)$. Let $f$ be defined for all $x$ but it it might not be invertible. Further assume $x \sim p(x)$ with some probability density $p(x)$. ...
matthiaw91's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
178 views

Given distribution of $X$ and $X|Y=y$, is it possible to find distribution of $Y$?

What the title says! My intuition is NO since in Bayesian statistics we typically specify the prior and likelihood, and from those two we can compute the posterior and so on. We can interpret $Y$ = ...
Orlando's user avatar
  • 61
1 vote
1 answer
296 views

Sum of two continuous random variables

Let R1 and R2 be two independent random variables, both with uniform density at the interval (0,2). What is the probability of R1>1 given that R1 +R2<2? -- What I've tried: I know that $$ P(R1&...
Oalvinegro's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
17 views

Gaussian Distribution [duplicate]

Assume we have two continuous Normal RV "X" and "Y". how can I show the conditional PDF f(X|Y) and f(Y|X) is Normal?
Hossein Shahbodaghkhan's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
56 views

Conditional density under conditional indepencence?

Let $X,Y,Z$ three random variables such that the joint density can be factorized as $$f(x,y,z) = f(x \mid z) f(y\mid z) f(z).$$ This is, I am assuming conditional independence of $X$ and $Y$ given $Z$....
Dense's user avatar
  • 1
1 vote
1 answer
498 views

Computing a marginal distribution of a joint involving a delta function

Suppose that we have four continuous random variables $x,y,z,$ and $v$ and we want to compute the following integral: $$\int f(x\mid y)f(z\mid x,y)f(v\mid z,x,y)\,dx$$ There are a few conditions: $...
KRL's user avatar
  • 286
1 vote
0 answers
536 views

Changing a conditional probability to a deterministic function

Suppose that we have a conditional density function $p(y|x;\theta^*)$, where $\theta^*$ represents distribution parameters and are assumed to be deterministic. Is it possible that we write this ...
KRL's user avatar
  • 286
3 votes
1 answer
785 views

pdf from a set of conditional pdfs

I have an interesting problem, i have seen in many text books ways of calculating conditional pdfs but not many where given a set of conditional pdfs for a variable we wish to calculate it's pdf. In ...
Iltl's user avatar
  • 477
0 votes
1 answer
179 views

Compute $E(X_1|X_1+X_2)$ $X_1, X_2$ both iid $Exponential(1)$

I recently stumbled across this question on CV: Conditional expectation conditional on exponential random variable And really liked the answer provided by @Rush, but I wanted to try to compute this ...
StatCurious's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
128 views

Condition Probability - What am I doing wrong?

I am reviewing some notes of mine and refreshing myself with some statistics and I came across a problem that asks me to calculate $P(X>1|Y>1)$ for the random variables $X$ and $Y$ whose joint ...
StatCurious's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
162 views

Credibility evaluation - how to model conditional continuous density from multiple variables of various types?

I recently got dataset for 37000 households with declared income and a few dozens of other variables of various types: continuous, discrete, binary. The task is to automatically (unsupervised) ...
Jarek Duda's user avatar
2 votes
3 answers
209 views

what does p( y | μ,σ²) really mean?

Just started to study Bayesian Statistics. I am very confused the concept of having a conditional probability on a distribution. Specifically: I understand what p( A | B ) where A="I am sick" and ...
Sachar Rosen's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
143 views

How do I estimate multiple probabilities of multiple values using a conditional multivariate norm in R? [closed]

I am using the condMVNorm package. I can get the density estimate for 1 value as follows. ...
Jane Wayne's user avatar
  • 1,400
1 vote
0 answers
392 views

How to integrate out a continuous r.v. from a mixed joint density

Say I have a continuous variable $C \sim N(0, 1)$, which was observed in a few points: obsC <- seq(-1.5, 1.5, by = 1) I also have a discrete variable $D \in \{...
Waldir Leoncio's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
317 views

Derivation of the conditional probability from an mixture of two normal distributions

I need to estimate the probability that an outcome R comes from either the sum (SUM) or from the difference (DIF) of two independent random variables. To do that, I need to compute the conditional ...
Rodrigo's user avatar
  • 107
11 votes
5 answers
9k views

Compound Poisson Distribution with sum of exponential random variables

I'm trying to find the distribution and parameters in a Compound Poisson $S=\displaystyle\sum_{j=1}^{N}Y_{j},$ where $Y_{j}$ are exponential random variables independent and distributed identically ...
Suiz96's user avatar
  • 111
2 votes
0 answers
806 views

min/max and probability distributions

We have two identically distributed, independent, uniform variables on interval $[0,1]$ : $X_{1}$, $X_{2}$. And $Y_{1}=\max(X_{1},X_{2})$, $Y_{2}=\min(X_{1},X_{2})$. I want to find distribution $f(y_{...
mokebe's user avatar
  • 273
1 vote
0 answers
17 views

conditional PDF bivariated Birnbaum Saunders

According to theorem 3.1 of this article here, If $(T_{1},T_{2})\sim BVBS(\alpha_{1},\beta_{1},\alpha_{2},\beta_{2},\rho),$ then: The conditional PDF of $T_{1},$ given $T_{2}=t_{2},$ is given by: $$...
fsbmat's user avatar
  • 148
12 votes
3 answers
4k views

How is $\Pr(X=x|Y=y)$ defined when $Y$ is continous and $X$ discrete?

Say that $Y$ is a continuous random variable, and $X$ is a discrete one. $$ \Pr(X=x|Y=y) = \frac{\Pr(X=x)\Pr(Y=y|X=x)}{\Pr(Y=y)} $$ As we know, $\Pr(Y=y) = 0$ because $Y$ is a continuous random ...
caveman's user avatar
  • 2,731
7 votes
0 answers
702 views

Spinograms vs. conditional densityplots

I have a binary response variable (hail) and multiple continuous predictor variables. My aim is to understand the linear/non-linear relationship of the predictors to the response to be able to justify ...
pat-s's user avatar
  • 511
4 votes
1 answer
692 views

Gibbs sampling and conditional distribution

I need to simulate the posterior distribution of intraclass correlation coefficient $\pi(\rho|y)$ where $y$ is the data set and $\rho=\frac{\sigma_a^2}{\sigma_a^2+\sigma_e^2}$ with $\sigma^2_a\sim IG(\...
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