Linked Questions

105 votes
17 answers
73k views

Under what conditions does correlation imply causation?

We all know the mantra "correlation does not imply causation" which is drummed into all first year statistics students. There are some nice examples here to illustrate the idea. But sometimes ...
Rob Hyndman's user avatar
  • 58.3k
76 votes
6 answers
9k views

Criticism of Pearl's theory of causality

In the year 2000, Judea Pearl published Causality. What controversies surround this work? What are its major criticisms?
Neil G's user avatar
  • 15.5k
22 votes
6 answers
68k views

Does simple linear regression imply causation?

I know correlation does not imply causation but instead the strength and direction of the relationship. Does simple linear regression imply causation? Or is an inferential (t-test, etc.) statistical ...
user4572's user avatar
  • 221
24 votes
3 answers
17k views

Unconfoundedness in Rubin's Causal Model- Layman's explanation

When implementing Rubin's causal model, one of the (untestable) assumptions that we need is unconfoundedness, which means $$(Y(0),Y(1))\perp T|X$$ Where the LHS are the counterfactuals, the T is the ...
RayVelcoro's user avatar
  • 1,229
21 votes
5 answers
4k views

Definition and delimitation of regression model

An embarrassingly simple question -- but it seems it has not been asked on Cross Validated before: What is the definition of a regression model? Also a support question, What is not a regression ...
Richard Hardy's user avatar
30 votes
2 answers
8k views

do(x) operator meaning?

I have seen the $do(x)$ operator everywhere in some literature review I am doing on Causality (see, for instance this wikipedia entry). However, I cannot find a formal and general definition of this ...
Judio's user avatar
  • 303
17 votes
3 answers
1k views

Which OLS assumptions are colliders violating?

The following webpage says that: We should not control for a collider variable! Which OLS assumptions are colliders violating?
robertspierre's user avatar
9 votes
2 answers
1k views

Incorrectly Using the Word "Causal" to Describe a Regression Model?

Suppose we take the classical linear regression model: $$y_i = \beta_0 + \beta_1 x_i + \epsilon_i$$ Over the years, I have heard so many people say that such an interpretation can be drawn from this ...
stats_noob's user avatar
15 votes
5 answers
11k views

What are the differences between stochastic and fixed regressors in linear regression model?

If we have stochastic regressors, we are drawing random pairs $(y_i,\vec{x}_i)$ for a bunch of $i$, the so-called random sample, from a fixed but unknown probabilistic distribution $(y,\vec{x})$. ...
Kun's user avatar
  • 502
19 votes
4 answers
9k views

Difference Between Simultaneous Equation Model and Structural Equation Model

Can anybody please help me to understand the differences between simultaneous equations models and structural equation models (SEM)? It will be great if somebody can provide me some literature on it. ...
Beta's user avatar
  • 6,466
15 votes
2 answers
2k views

Is a regression causal if there are no omitted variables?

A regression of $y$ on $x$ need not be causal if there are omitted variables which influence both $x$ and $y$. But if not for omitted variables and measurement error, is a regression causal? That is, ...
Esha's user avatar
  • 151
18 votes
1 answer
4k views

Causal effect by back-door and front-door adjustments

If we wanted to calculate the causal effect of $X$ on $Y$ in the causal graph below, we can use both the back-door adjustment and front-Door adjustment theorems, i.e., $$P(y | \textit{do}(X = x)) = \...
Jae's user avatar
  • 283
13 votes
3 answers
3k views

Regression and causality in econometrics

In regression in general and in linear regression in particular, causal interpretation of parameters is sometimes permitted. At least in econometrics literature, but not only, when causal ...
markowitz's user avatar
  • 5,779
6 votes
2 answers
12k views

Strict exogeneity and lagged variables

I am confused why strict exogeneity must be violated when we have lagged time series variables. My understanding of strict exogeneity is that a variable must be uncorrelated with error terms in all ...
mangofruit's user avatar
4 votes
3 answers
2k views

Conditional probability and causality

I would like to understand the link between conditional probabilities and causality. More precisely: Assume we have two variables $A=\{0,1\}$ and $B=\{0,1\}$ and we observe: $P(A=1|B=1)>P(A=1|B=0)...
user6441253's user avatar
9 votes
2 answers
2k views

What is the relationship between minimizing prediction error versus parameter estimation error?

With the advent of statistical learning techniques, people are talking a lot about prediction error, while in classical statistics, one is focusing on parameter estimation error. What is the ...
Matifou's user avatar
  • 3,184
5 votes
3 answers
2k views

Measurement error in one indep variable in OLS with multiple regression

Suppose I regress (with OLS) $y$ on $x_1$ and $x_2$. Suppose I have i.i.d. sample of size n, and that $x_1$ is observed with error but $y$ and $x_2$ are observed without error. What is the probability ...
Xu Wang's user avatar
  • 104
18 votes
2 answers
1k views

How would econometricians answer the objections and recommendations raised by Chen and Pearl (2013)?

In their article, Chen and Pearl (2013), critically examined 6 econometric textbooks, among these the textbooks written by Wooldridge (2009) {the introductory book}, and Stock & Watson (2011). ...
ColorStatistics's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
2k views

Regression and the CEF

I recently read in this page (https://www.timlrx.com/2018/02/26/notes-on-regression-approximation-of-the-conditional-expectation-function/#fn1) that: "Regression offers a way of approximating ...
Rafael Hernández Salazar's user avatar
8 votes
3 answers
887 views

Are all statistical models also causal models?

I'm just starting to learn about causal inference methods, focused on Pearl's do-calculus. So the point between Pearl's causal graphs and rules for manipulating causal graphs appears to be to turn a ...
Brandon Brown's user avatar
5 votes
2 answers
738 views

regression and causation

In the Chen and Pearl (2013) article there are several critics about econometrics textbooks. Currently I try to understand more about it. In particular the Authors written (pag 4, footnote 5): From ...
markowitz's user avatar
  • 5,779
3 votes
2 answers
2k views

Interpreting interaction term when X1 effect on Y depends on X2 but X2 effect on Y does not depend on X1

Imagine a set of variables, X1, X2, and Y, all continuous variables. There is a simple case where X1 and X2 affect Y such that: Y = alpha + β1 X1 + β2 X2 + error Using R syntax, a model to analyze ...
simone's user avatar
  • 327
2 votes
3 answers
2k views

Endogeneity testing using correlation test

I am currently testing my linear model using OLS method. The last thing I have to test is endogeneity issue. Is it enough if I test each explanatory variable for correletion with error term? Than ...
sabiste's user avatar
  • 31
8 votes
1 answer
1k views

What's the DGP in causal inference?

This question come from this discussion (Under which assumptions a regression can be interpreted causally? ). That discussion touch too arguments and is not possible to speak about all things there. ...
markowitz's user avatar
  • 5,779
3 votes
2 answers
1k views

Is it possible for the zero conditional mean assumption to fail?

I have a questions about the so-called "zero conditional mean" assumption often made in the context of regression analysis. I am struggling to see how it could be violated, or rather where ...
DarkenExcalibur's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
1k views

Regression's population parameters

Suppose I've specified a linear regression model: $$ Y = \beta_0 + \beta_1 X + \epsilon $$ where $\beta_0$, $\beta_1$ are the population parameters. My question is: why are these parameters ...
Juan Bromas's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
358 views

Why are error properties in linear regression assumptions if they are true by construction?

The following two results on the residuals ($\epsilon$) in the case of linear regression get stated as assumptions of the linear regressions $E(\epsilon) = 0$ $cov(X, \epsilon) = 0$ Here is MIT 18....
figs_and_nuts's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
3k views

Zero conditional expectation of error in OLS regression

Suppose we have a dependent variable $Y$ and an independent variable $X$ in a population, and we want to estimate the linear model $$ Y = \beta_{0} + \beta_{1}X + \varepsilon $$ Using the least-...
gtoques's user avatar
  • 245
0 votes
1 answer
3k views

OLS Assumption-No correlation should be there between error term and independent variable and error term and dependent variable

My question is that does endogeneity exists if there is correlation between dependent variable and error term, but not in between error term and independent variable. So for Ex, we know there should ...
divyam sureka's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
847 views

conditional and interventional expectation

Conditional expectation $E[Y|X]$ and interventional expectation $E[Y|do(X)]$ are related but conceptually very different things. I know that if $X$ is a randomly assigned by an experiment, we have ...
markowitz's user avatar
  • 5,779

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