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Thin tails and the Generalized Pareto

Rewriting my question: On this Mathworks page: https://www.mathworks.com/help/stats/generalized-pareto-distribution.html it is said (as many textbooks say) that "Distributions whose tails decrease ...
Isambard Kingdom's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
395 views

Convergence maximum of Normal rv to gumbel through simulation (metropolis hastings)

I would like to see the convergence of an order statistic to its respective Extreme Value attractor by simulating with the Metropolis Hastings algorithm (I am self-studying MCMC algos). I was trying ...
Vittorio Apicella's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
580 views

Distribution with 3 Modes, Find the 2 In-Between Minima

Suppose I have a dataset consisting of numbers drawn from three normal distributions $\mathcal N\!(\mu_{\rm left}, \sigma_{\rm left}^2),\ \mathcal N\!(\mu_{\rm center}, \sigma_{\rm center}^2),\ \...
J.D.'s user avatar
  • 59
3 votes
0 answers
555 views

Convergence rate of the maximum of Weibull random variables to a Gumbel distribution

Given a sequence of iid samples $X_1, \dots, X_n,$ where each $X_i$ comes from a Weibull distribution with shape parameter $k$ and scale parameter $\lambda$. Then it is a well-known result that the ...
jfiedler's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
95 views

Simulating Draws of Multivariate EV-Type Distribution

Let $\varepsilon = [\varepsilon_1,...,\varepsilon_J]$ be a random vector that we can partition into $K$ disjoint subvectors. $\varepsilon$ has this cdf: \begin{equation} F(\varepsilon) = \exp \bigg[-\...
Matt's user avatar
  • 11
2 votes
1 answer
83 views

Detecting extrema under uncertainty?

An old version of this question was poorly articulated. Here is another go: I have fifty objects. With a different, independent, unbiased scale for each object, I measure their weights 100 times each ...
greendolphin's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

How to calculate the cumulative distribution function of a GEV distribution when $1+\xi(x-\mu)/\sigma\le0$?

I don't have a stats background let alone one in extreme value theory, and I have what I imagine is a simple question but one I that haven't been able to find the answer to. The cumulative ...
Nick's user avatar
  • 21
1 vote
1 answer
133 views

MAP versus Component-Wise Maximum Marginal

Suppose I have the joint distribution: \begin{align} p(\mathbf{x}) = p(x_1, ... , x_n) \end{align} The maximum a posteriori (MAP) solution is given by: \begin{align} \mathbf{x}_{MAP} = \arg \max p(\...
tisPrimeTime's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
61 views

Problem with two correlated random normals

Imagine you have a two-dimensional multivariate normal random variable with $\mu = [0, 0]$ and $\Sigma\ = \begin{bmatrix}1 & r\\r & 1\end{bmatrix}$. (Conceptually, you have two random normal ...
Adam Morris's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
55 views

Extreme Value Theory - Determining the positive normalising constant in the Extremal Types Theorem

I am working through the following question and cannot seem to work out how the final result is obtained from the last inequality involving $a_n$. Can someone shed some light?
Will's user avatar
  • 309
0 votes
0 answers
73 views

How to minimise and expectation with respect to a parameter?

Suppose that $X$ is a random variable with distribution $G$. Let $H(X;\theta)$ be a parametric function with $\theta \in \Theta \subset {\mathbb R}^p$. I want to maximize the function $$\varphi(\...
Lex's user avatar
  • 1
7 votes
2 answers
286 views

What is the distribution of a bivariate normal component conditional on the max of the other component?

Let $n$ be a large integer, and consider two independent multivariate Gaussian $n$-vectors $x, z$ with $x\sim\mathcal{N}\left(0,I\right),$ and $z\sim\mathcal{N}\left(0,\sigma^2 I\right)$. Let $y=x+z$. ...
steveo'america's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
52 views

Two datasets with same length give different number of extremes

I have two datasets of a given variable x that have the same length, let's say 14600 values in total each one. I need to extract the extreme observations within ...
aaaaa's user avatar
  • 344
2 votes
1 answer
451 views

Show that $nX_{(1)}$ is not consistent

Consider a random sample from exponential distribution with mean $\frac{1}{\theta}$. I have to prove that $nX_{(1)}$ is not consistent for $\frac{1}{\theta}$ . A sufficient condition for consistency ...
Harry's user avatar
  • 1,397
3 votes
1 answer
4k views

Normalizations: dividing by maximum [closed]

I'd like to know what are the reasons and benefits of dividing all the values of a dataset by the maximum of the dataset. Are they referred by authors? This normalization is well known in gene ...
coolsv's user avatar
  • 141
3 votes
1 answer
249 views

Limiting Distribution of $n\left[Y_n\right]$ where $Y_n$ is the minimum of a sample of size n from Uniform$\left(0,\theta\right)$ distribution

Suppose $X_1,X_2,\dots,X_n$ is a random sample from Uniform$(0,\theta)$ for some unknown $\theta > 0$. Let $Y_n$ be the minimum of $X_1,X_2,\dots,X_n$. (a) Suppose $F_n$ is the CDF of $nY_n$. Show ...
Soumya Mukherjee's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
104 views

Identify dependent or independent blocks of time series (clusters)

maybe I am lost in translation but I need your help. Description: Having long time series of two variables I create some blocks (or clusters) with the method of peak over threshold but I need to ...
Marz's user avatar
  • 1
1 vote
0 answers
117 views

Group comparison for extreme value data: which method is suitable?

I have measured Gaussian curvature data of 3D objects from two different groups, A and B. I would like to find out whether the objects differ in curvature. The distribution of data values for each ...
John Silver's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
176 views

Meaning of Extreme Value distribution vs. lowest/highest Order Statistic

How exactly does the meaning of the Extreme Value Distribution differ from the distribution of the lowest/highest (extreme) order statistics? I understand that the extreme value distribution (EVD) ...
James Palmer's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
151 views

Question regarding Extreme Value Theory and finding the distribution of X(n)

Hello stats stack exchange, I have a question regarding Order Statistics and the asymptotic distribution of $X_n$ which is the rv for max($X_1$, $X_2$,...,$X_n$) where $X_i$ are from some distribution....
Kazusa's user avatar
  • 41
0 votes
0 answers
59 views

Generalized logistic distribution

I saw on wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Generalized_logistic_distribution that when $\alpha<\beta$, generalized type IV logistic distribution can be written as: $\frac{\exp(-\alpha x)}{(\...
ZHU's user avatar
  • 565
7 votes
1 answer
243 views

Is there a random variable $X$ with positive support such that the ratio of the two smallest realizations of an iid sample goes to one?

Imagine I have given a random variable $X$ with supp$(X)=(0,\infty)$ and $\mathbb P(X \in (0,a))>0$ for any fixed $a>0$ Now given an iid sample $X_1,...,X_n$ - is it possible that $$X^{(2)}/...
user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
2k views

The relationship between GEV and GPD

source: Embrechts pg 165, 354 (3.52) G is Generalized Pareto Distribution Base on that theorem, could I conclude that 1) if I have a data and the excess fit with Generalized Pareto Distribution, then ...
reraissa's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
51 views

Estimate true mean of the maximum of N sample means

Let's say we have N distributions $\mathcal N(\mu_i, \sigma_i)$, each with unknown mean $\mu_i$ and unknown standard deviation $\sigma_i$, $i=0,...,N-1$. For each $i$, $M$ independent random samples ...
aagold's user avatar
  • 1
0 votes
0 answers
552 views

When I fit my data with GEV, I got positive parameter, but when I fit it with GPD, I got negative parameter?

My data is the total annual precipitation in Australia. My purpose is to observe the extreme precipitation on the right end tail. When I fit my data with Generalized Extreme Value, I got positive ...
reraissa's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
300 views

Find the limiting distribution of $(bn)^{-\frac{1}{\alpha}} X_{(n)}$

let $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of i.i.d random variables with common distribution $F$, and write $X_{(n)}=\max\{X_1,\cdots , X_n\}$ , $n=1,2,\cdots$ (a) for $\alpha >0$ , $\lim_{x\rightarrow ...
Masoud's user avatar
  • 1,349
6 votes
2 answers
2k views

What is element-wise max pooling?

I came across this term in the VoxelNet paper in relation to point cloud based object detection using machine learning. It is mentioned in figures 2&3 and in 2.2.1 I am familiar with 2d max ...
tinyMind's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
20 views

What is the variance of the least of several series?

Given a number of series (or images) that are independent and have a Poisson distribution with the same mean, what is the variance of the series generated from taking the point-by-point minimum? i.e. ...
James Tappin's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
272 views

distribution for scaled Maximum of n independent Weibulls for $n \to \infty$

Assume that $X_1, X_2,...\sim Weibull(\lambda, k) \quad iid.$, i.e. $F(X_1\leq x) = 1-e^{-(\lambda x)^k}$ define $M_n:= \max\{X_1, ..., X_n\}$ and $\tilde{M}_n:=\frac{M_n-b_n}{a_n}$ according to ...
Sebastian's user avatar
  • 3,114
0 votes
0 answers
218 views

How to assess uncertainty in a Bayesian analysis?

I'm building a model to estimate recurrence of flood magnitudes via fitting a GEV distribution to flow data. The aim of the study is to compare stationary and non stationary models using a Bayesian ...
Yan Machado's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
196 views

How is the minimum logarithmic loss calculated when initializing the XGBoost algorithm?

Suppose there are $5$ sample units, $2$ of which carry the feature $y=1$ to be predicted and three of which carry the feature $y=0$. So, $2$ are positive. The XGBoost algorithm initializes with $\...
R.Deilke's user avatar
-1 votes
1 answer
210 views

Estimation of an exponential parameter

I´m trying to figure out the pdf $f_\min(X_i)$ of $\min(X_i)$, where the distribution of the sample $X_1,...,X_n$ is $\mathcal{E}xp(\lambda)$, where $\lambda$ is the unknown parameter. I tried with ...
Ben C.'s user avatar
  • 1
4 votes
0 answers
223 views

How to prove that the prior for which Bayes rule is also the minimax rule, is the least favorable prior?

I have read in the book Mathematical Statistics: A Decision Theoretic Approach by Thomas Ferguson that The prior for which the Bayes rule is also minimax rule, then that prior is Least favorable prior....
Aatsrh's user avatar
  • 51
2 votes
1 answer
180 views

Maximum A Posteriori Estimate

The formula for calculating the MAP estimate of a particular parameter, $p$, is given by the following: $p^{MAP} =$ argmax $P(p)P(p|x)$. Now I am trying to do a question where I am told the prior ...
user11128's user avatar
  • 571
4 votes
1 answer
10k views

cross entropy loss max value

The cross entropy loss function for multiclass can be computed as: $$-\sum\limits_{i=1}^N y_i log \hat{y}_i$$ where $y_i$ is a class and $\hat{y}_i$ the estimated probability. The minimum value is $0$ ...
volperossa's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
62 views

Normal equations issue

Let $A\mathbf{x}=\mathbf{b}$ be an overdetermined system, with $A$ being an $n \times m $ full-column rank rectangular matrix. Are these minimization problems equivalent? $$ 1) \;\underset{\mathbf{x}...
omega's user avatar
  • 437
3 votes
1 answer
5k views

Expectation of max of two normal random variables

I have been reading this paper about the maximum and minimum of two normal distributed variables. Inside the paper there is the formula for the expectation of this the maximum of the two variables. ...
Simon Johnson's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
41 views

How to compare frequencies of categorical variable with 3 possible values

There is one variable which can get one of 3 values and one sample. Lets assume values are A, B, C and frequencies are x, y, and z. How could I find if x > max(y,z), statistically significant? Or, in ...
alex's user avatar
  • 11
5 votes
1 answer
122 views

Identity on expectation of the minimum of two iid random variables with bounded support

I am reading the 2008 annals of statistics paper "Ranking and empirical minimisation of U-statistics" by Clémençon et. al, and read a statement which I do not know why is true. In order to accurately ...
Simon Boge Brant's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
1k views

m out of n bootstrap implementation in R

I am wishing to estimate the sampling distribution of an extreme order statistic (the sample maximum). The usual nonparametric (n-out-of-n) bootstrap fails miserably in this case. Chernick (2011) ...
compbiostats's user avatar
  • 1,649
2 votes
2 answers
1k views

Estimating the min and max of a distribution

I have a measurement problem where I am attempting to measure the minimum and maximum height of a surface by taking point samples of heights. If I then look at the distribution of all height values, ...
Dan Bryant's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
159 views

Interpretation of a Gumbel distribution's results

I am using (essentially) the approach outlined in the paper "Statistical-based WCET estimation and validation" (http://drops.dagstuhl.de/opus/volltexte/2009/2291/pdf/Hansen.2291.pdf) to build a Gumbel ...
adrianmcmenamin's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
24 views

Variability metric for Top 3 sports teams in a league

**I am a bit unsure what to mark this as/title this as. We refer to this type of phenomena as 'volatility' but this apparently has a specific context with regards to statistical phenomena so any ...
quantik's user avatar
  • 151
0 votes
0 answers
75 views

Minimum of n independent, but not identically distributed inverse Gaussians

I would like to find the probability distribution of the minimum of of n independent, but not identically distributed, i.e. differently parametrized inverse Gaussians. I would prefer an analytical ...
ge0rg's user avatar
  • 13
3 votes
1 answer
1k views

Mean and variance of maximum of normal random variables

I'm trying to find the mean and variance of $Y = \max(X_1, ..., X_n)$ where $X_i \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu_i, \sigma^2)$. Note that the $X_i$ are independent, but not identically distributed. That is, ...
cosine180's user avatar
  • 301
2 votes
2 answers
92 views

Measure that takes samples that is minimized in expectation for a uniformly-distributed random variable?

I am having trouble thinking of a function that operates on a set of samples, that is, single-valued random variables between zero and one, $x_i \in (0,1), i\in\{1,2,...I\}$, and provides a measure of ...
JoseOrtiz3's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
6k views

Computing the Hessian of maximum log likelihood function

I am trying to find the Hessian matrix for the maximum log likelihood function given training data ${(xi, yi)}$ for $i=1:N$ with $yi ∈ \left\{+1, −1\right\}$ for each $i = 1,\dots, N$ for the function:...
Kristin's user avatar
  • 23
2 votes
1 answer
7k views

Name for (maximum+minimum)/2 and relationship to average?

Is there a common name for $c := \frac{max(X)+min(X)}{2}$? What is the relationship between $\tilde{x} := Avg(X)$ and $c$? What metrics or information can I derive from $\tilde{x}$ and $c$? If I ...
mroman's user avatar
  • 481
7 votes
1 answer
1k views

Extreme Value Theory - domains of attraction and techniques for evaluting a limit

We consider the gamma uniform G distribution as specified by Torabi and Montazeri: $$f(x) = \frac{1}{\Gamma (a)}\frac{g(x)}{[1-G(x)]^2}\left[\frac{G(x)}{1-G(x)}\right]^{a-1}\exp\left[\frac{G(x)}{1-G(x)...
Will's user avatar
  • 309
5 votes
2 answers
259 views

Is it possible to obtain more accurate annual extremes predictions from sub-annual data?

I'm looking at various extreme climate variables, such as 50-year or 500-year maximum daily precipitation, using a generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The problem with this is that there are ...
naught101's user avatar
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